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The Hill
Pollsters caution against assuming that the polls this cycle are susceptible to the same errors as previous ones that underestimated support for former President Trump, arguing that every election is different and that this year’s polls are an accurate reflection of the competitiveness of the race.
Polls now show Vice President Harris leading Trump by about 4 points, according to the average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. But the race in the roughly half dozen battleground states is even closer, and a polling error like the ones in the past could mean Trump is in a stronger position to prevail than the data says.
But polling analysts say it’s not that simple.
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📸 Associated Press
6 months ago | [YT] | 262
View 317 replies
The Hill
Republicans are leaving Washington projecting confidence about their chances of returning to the Capitol in November knowing they’ll have full control of government in 2025.
Republicans in their final legislative days before heading home for the final weeks of a frantic campaign said they are confident the House GOP will retain its majority and that former President Trump, who is locked in a tight race with Vice President Harris, will emerge victorious.
If anything, Republicans are even more confident about their path to a Senate majority, given the difficult map for Democrats that has them defending several seats in states Trump is nearly certain to win.
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📸Associated Press
6 months ago | [YT] | 347
View 204 replies
The Hill
Republican lawmakers think the second assassination attempt against former President Trump could give his struggling campaign a needed boost by energizing GOP voters and putting Democrats on the defensive over their warnings that his reelection represents a threat to democracy.
Republican senators are reluctant to talk about Trump’s latest brush with death in crass political terms, but they predict it will have a rallying effect within their party.
“I think people are going to rally to President Trump’s side. He’s under siege on so many fronts,” said Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). “It’s a Republican today, it could be a Democrat tomorrow. The system is broken.”
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📸 Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 323
View 341 replies
The Hill
More than 330,000 visitors have flocked to vote.gov by way of pop superstar Taylor Swift’s postdebate endorsement of Vice President Harris, according to the General Services Administration (GSA).
A GSA spokesperson said 337,826 visitors had been referred to the voter information website through Swift’s custom link as of 2 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, not even 24 hours after the debate or her endorsement.
The 14-time Grammy award-winner issued her much-anticipated endorsement minutes after the showdown between Harris and former President Trump, posting to her 283 million Instagram followers. She said she’s casting her ballot for Harris “because she fights for the rights and causes I believe need a warrior to champion them” and contended the country should be “led by calm and not chaos.”
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📸 Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 423
View 784 replies
The Hill
The White Stripes are following through with their threat of legal action after an aide to Donald Trump posted a video featuring one of their songs, filing a copyright infringement lawsuit against the staffer and the former president’s campaign.
In the suit filed Monday in the Southern district of New York, the band accused Trump’s campaign of “flagrant misappropriation” of their 2003 hit, “Seven Nation Army.”
Last month, Margo Martin, Trump’s deputy director of communications, posted a video clip of the ex-commander-in-chief traveling to a pair of rallies with “Seven Nation Army” playing as he boarded a plane.
“Oh…. Don’t even think about using my music you fascists,” Jack White, one half of the rock duo, wrote on Instagram at the time.
On Monday, White posted part of the lawsuit on Instagram with a message: “This machine sues fascists.”
🔗: trib.al/pQk7zMa
7 months ago | [YT] | 236
View 377 replies
The Hill
After more than 60 salmonella cases were linked to eggs sold by Milo’s Poultry Farms LLC, the brand has ordered a recall of all egg products, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Milo’s Poultry Farms LLC, of Wisconsin, sold its products to restaurants and stores in Illinois, Michigan and Wisconsin, but illnesses connected to the same strain of salmonella were reported in six other states, including California, Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, Utah and Virginia.
Of the 65 reported illnesses, 24 people were hospitalized. Most of the cases — 42 — were reported in Wisconsin. Illinois reported 11, the second-highest number of cases for a single state.
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📸 Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 157
View 47 replies
The Hill
The stakes are incredibly high for the first debate next week between former President Trump and Vice President Harris, as the presidential race is as close as it has been this century, according to the latest forecast model from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill.
The Decision Desk HQ model shows Harris has a 55 percent probability of winning but suggests the contest is essentially a jump ball affair with seven states in serious contention for both campaigns.
That puts even more importance on Tuesday’s debate between the two candidates, with a strong or disastrous performance by either Harris or Trump having the potential to be a game changer.
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📸: Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 384
View 494 replies
The Hill
Republicans are alarmed that former President Trump’s support among women is deteriorating in the polls and that his efforts to stop the bleeding don’t appear to be working.
While Republicans are no strangers to the gender gap between the parties in presidential elections, they now face a “chasm” between male and female voters.
Republican pollster Whit Ayres says “it’s going to be a challenge” for Trump to chip away at Vice President Harris’s big lead among women.
“The real challenge right now for Republicans is whether they can perform sufficiently well among men to overcome the deficit among women. Given the prominence of abortion in this year’s race and Trump’s past statements about women, the traditional gender gap could become a gender chasm,” he warned.
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📸 Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 314
View 778 replies
The Hill
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pushed back on pressure to reach a cease-fire deal after thousands of protesters poured onto the streets in the hours after the military said six hostages in Gaza were killed by Hamas.
Netanyahu doubled down in public remarks Monday, saying he wants Israel to remain in control of the Philadelphi corridor, which is a narrow strip along Gaza’s border with Egypt where Israel claims Hamas smuggles weapons into Gaza, according to a report. Egypt and Hamas have denied the claims.
The control of the corridor has been a major demand from Israel in cease-fire negotiations. Netanyahu said Monday that the strip is “the oxygen of Hamas,” according to the report.
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📷: Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 2,044
View 445 replies
The Hill
Democrats and Republicans are bracing for an election that will be narrowly decided as they gear up for the final 10-week sprint in the race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris.
Harris’s party has sought to cast themselves as underdogs, even as her entry into the campaign has supercharged Democrats down in the dumps over President Biden’s chances of reelection.
As Democrats guard against overconfidence, the Trump campaign and Republicans feel they still have multiple paths to victory and advantages on the issues that matter the most to many voters.
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📸 Associated Press
7 months ago | [YT] | 1,747
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