Anand Parekar

Ek baat toh pakki he, jis tarah se garmi ka season start hua he and it's just the initial days - is baar ka situation last year jaisa nahi he

If you recall last year La Nina effect tha - Garmi thodi kam thi, monsoon jaldi start ho gaya and above normal monsoon tha, prediction for this year as of now are for rain deficit and strong summer - effect of El Nino.

Electricity demand has hit 15-year high in month of Feb already!!!

And understand this will remain till June, until rains start if incase starts on time so effect would be till Q1FY27

Moral of the story this would be positive for dependent businesses
1. AC/ Fridge makers/ Retailers - Blue Star, Aditya Vision
2. Beverage Companies - VBL
3. Fans/ Wire makers - Polycab/ KEI/ RR Kabel
4. Power related businesses again - TARIL, Transrail

No Stock Reco - sharing just the though process

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6 days ago (edited) | [YT] | 6

Anand Parekar

Complete picture of transformer space in India and how competition stacks just in case you want to see it all at once.

What do we see:

1. Few players exist across entire range of transformers (includes TARIL)
2. Big capex is happening in this space, already announced capex of these large players captured below, more capacities may get announced going forward as well
3. BHEL currently is biggest player in terms of capacity but will shortly be taken over by TARIL
4. HVDC ability is with limited few players (includes TARIL)

#transformers #q3fy26 #rectifiers #transmission #power

1 week ago | [YT] | 7

Anand Parekar

For few days and weeks now, tons of money is clearly moving out of IT & presumably related fallout businesses to the following:

1. Hospitals, Pharma and related
2. Power, C&W, Data center related businesss
3. Banks - primarily PSU banks
4. Partly Auto

Did I miss anything?

Times like this actually test lot of patience and stress importance of diversified portfolio especially if you are directly into stocks

#rotation #power #psu #hospitals #AI #datacenter #sectorrotation

2 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 3

Anand Parekar

सांब सदाशिव, सांब सदाशिव, सांब शिवा..
हर हर हर हर सांब शिवा...

|| हर हर महादेव ||

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 6

Anand Parekar

Anything and everything is getting questioned now.

So far impact anticipated was negative for IT but now extending to real estate and even to consumption to an extent.

Even business model of Physicswallah, Cartrade, Zaggle, Nuvama, Anand Rathi, PB Fintech etc.. all are being questioned.

Even the ones that have already adopted AI meaningfully in processes and doing Incrementally and already reaping benefits are under question.

Disruption is different from extinction, businesses will have to adapt quickly and which many will be able to do successfully.

Fear and pessimism spreads like fire, let's see where it takes us..but I think it's overblown to an extent..

#AI #disruption #businessmodel

4 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 6

Anand Parekar

Zaggle Prepaid: All Parameter Bit Performance for Q3FY26

It delivered highest ever quarterly performance in Q3

Rev: +48%, EBITDA: +73%, PAT: +77%
EBITDA%: 10.2% (+140 bps YoY), PAT%: 7.2% (+120 bps YoY)

9MFY26:

Rev: +41.4%, EBITDA: +60%, PAT: +71%
EBITDA% 10% (+120 bps YoY), PAT%: 7.5% (+130 bps YoY)


Recall management had revised revenue guidance for FY26 from 35-40% to 40-45% post Q2 results and well on track to achieve that.

More importantly, margin numbers are heartening, because 2nd consecutive quarter when the margins are in the guided range of 10-11%, so finally it is delivering on margin front which was missing piece in zaggle's story for last year.

At 31 PE of FY26 end and growing EPS at >50%, comfortably available at PEG <1

Detailed analysis video post concall tomorrow morning

Stay tuned!

#zaggle #growth #q3fy26 #payment #zaggleprepaid

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 12

Anand Parekar

Mrs Bectors: Ugly performance

Kaha 20-25% growth karne wale Mrs. Bector ka abhi growth 8% ka aya he.
Margin toh never ever looked going back to 14% mark

PE abhi bhi 60 ka he. Now it looks more similar to likes of HUL, Dabur jinhone salo se paisa nahi banaya.

Consumption slowdown se bahar nikalte nai dikh raha, or rather forgot its way while it changed it strategy of distribution network expansion. Whatever could be the reason, result is growth is absolutely invisible

Inse achha toh fir ye he

1. Manorama
2. Vintage
3. L T Foods

#q3fy26 #mrsbector #fmcg

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 6

Anand Parekar

It could possibly take time for you to up your learning curve. Each sector and company over the period you do analysis for will help you get better with passing day.
First your picks will get better, for sure you will be to atleast avoid bad companie and then position sizing Improves basis your conviction - किसमे कितना allocate करना हें..

But one thing should be clear mind की क्या नही करना हें.. trading..
Look at below case..and this is just one called out, there could n such cases everyday..

Success takes time, effort, patience and then that money is enduring. With quick bucks you start thinking of your luck as skill and one day is enough to make you realize it...

#stopgambling #tradingkills #investing #fundamentals #fno

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 3

Anand Parekar

Disappointment: Enviro Infra Q3FY26 Results

Revenues are flat yoy in Q3, on 9M basis revenue growth is in single digit.
The stock went into results with muted expectation, and corrected along with market in last few weeks & months but so far its a big underperformance in terms of numbers.

Because, if you recall, management had guided for 35-40% revenue growth at start of FY26 and maintained same guidance post Q2FY26 results, but did mere ~8% growth as of 9MFY26

Now, the revenue recognition can be lumpy given nature of business and order execution but achieving 35-40% revenue growth for FY26 now looks difficult.

Concall is yet to happen but now if management reduces guidance and if the situation is not alleviated in concall then invites more trouble.

Detailed video analysis post concall

#q3fy26 #enviroinfra #eiel #epc #watertreatment #growth

4 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 5

Anand Parekar

And... India Shelter Continues to Dominate in FY26

Q3FY26 AUM: +31%, Spread: 6.6% (+50 bps YoY), PAT: +33% (excl. labor code impact). ROE: 17.1%, ROA: 5.8%

9MFY26: AUM: +31%, PAT: +37%

This Consistent, Predictable and Repeatable performance is no easy task..
believe me..

However, In Q3, GNPA: 1.5%, NNPA: 1.2% both inched inched up 30 bps in Q3, management commentary can throw more light on the direction and nature of these deterioration

#q3fy26 #indiashelter #nbfc #housingfinance #highgrowth

4 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 6