What Will Automated Firms Look Like?

Mark Zuckerberg – AI Will Write Most Meta Code in 18 Months

Why Rome Actually Fell: Plagues, Slavery, & Ice Age – Kyle Harper

AGI is Still 30 Years Away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: Career Advice Given AGI, How I Research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — The Collective Brain, Ancient Hadza Bows, & Myth of Lone Genius

Notes on China

The Hardest thing About Being CEO – Satya Nadella

Satya Nadella shows me the first Majorana 1 Quantum Computing chip

Satya Nadella – Microsoft’s AGI Plan & Quantum Breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer – 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

20th Century's Most Lethal Leader – Sarah Paine (Lecture Excerpt)

The Limits of American Power – Sarah Paine

"The Brilliance of Communism" – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine EP 3: How Mao Conquered China (Lecture & Interview)

Attacking America Is a Devastating Miscalculation – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine EP 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Was The War Against Japan Avoidable? - Sarah Paine

Unlimited War: Putin vs Bismarck – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine EP 1: The War For India (Lecture & Interview)

Sarah Paine: We Thought The Soviets Were Going to Win

Why Space Elevators Can't Mine Black Holes – Adam Brown

Tyler Cowen – The #1 Bottleneck to AI Progress is Humans

How Far Are We From An AI Einstein? - Adam Brown

How Black Holes Reveal a Holographic Reality

Adam Brown – Bubble Universes, Space Elevators, & AdS/CFT

The Grand Theory of Intelligence – Gwern

How Gwern saw AI scaling coming

Gwern - Anonymous Writer Who Predicted AI Trajectory on $12K/Year Salary

$10B OpenAI & Microsoft Cluster in 2025 – Dylan Patel & @Asianometry

Taiwan Invasion: Timeline to Global Collapse – @Asianometry & Dylan Patel

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel – How the Semiconductor Industry Actually Works

The caste system transformed Indian genetics – David Reich

Oil Decided World War II – Daniel Yergin

Daniel Yergin – Oil Destroyed Hitler, Fracking Destroyed Putin

How horse nomads took over Europe 5000 years ago – David Reich

Our biggest difference with Neanderthals – David Reich

A key period in human evolution wasn't in Africa – David Reich

Why no other human species survived – David Reich

David Reich – How One Small Tribe Conquered the World 70,000 Years Ago

The bacteria that shaped history: Yersinia pestis – David Reich

Joe Carlsmith - Preventing an AI Takeover

The Biggest Money Laundering Scheme In History – Patrick McKenzie

Patrick McKenzie - Money Laundering, Big Tech Censorship, SBF & Japan

Does Tony Blair regret bringing China into world order?

Lee Kuan Yew’s 3 key decisions that made Singapore rich – Tony Blair

Tony Blair - Why Political Leaders Keep Failing at Major Change

Government is a conspiracy of distraction – Tony Blair

If an LLM solves this then we'll probably have AGI – Francois Chollet

Scaling laws are explained by memorization and not intelligence – Francois Chollet

Francois Chollet - Why The Biggest AI Models Can't Solve Simple Puzzles

AI Labs are extremely vulnerable to espionage – Leopold Aschenbrenner

How the US-China AI Race Will Play Out – Leopold Aschenbrenner

AI Nationalization is Inevitable – Leopold Aschenbrenner

Leopold Aschenbrenner - 2027 AGI, China/US Super-Intelligence Race, & The Return of History

The inside story of how ChatGPT was built – OpenAI cofounder John Schulman

Why GPT-4 is much smarter than it was a year ago – OpenAI cofounder John Schulman

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) - Reasoning, RLHF, & Plan for 2027 AGI

2025 models will be more like coworkers than search engines – OpenAI cofounder John Schulman