Adam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain

What are we scaling?

Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGI

Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”

“I find it almost disturbing that the universe favors life this strongly” – Nick Lane

Some thoughts on the Sutton interview

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

Sarah Paine – How Hitler almost starved Britain

Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Notes on China

The Hardest thing About Being CEO – Satya Nadella

Satya Nadella shows me the first Majorana 1 Quantum Computing chip

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

20th Century's Most Lethal Leader – Sarah Paine (Lecture Excerpt)

The Limits of American Power – Sarah Paine

"The Brilliance of Communism" – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Attacking America Is a Devastating Miscalculation – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Was The War Against Japan Avoidable? - Sarah Paine

Unlimited War: Putin vs Bismarck – Sarah Paine

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine: We Thought The Soviets Were Going to Win

Why Space Elevators Can't Mine Black Holes – Adam Brown

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

How Far Are We From An AI Einstein? - Adam Brown

How Black Holes Reveal a Holographic Reality

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

The Grand Theory of Intelligence – Gwern

How Gwern saw AI scaling coming

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

$10B OpenAI & Microsoft Cluster in 2025 – Dylan Patel & @Asianometry

Taiwan Invasion: Timeline to Global Collapse – @Asianometry & Dylan Patel

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

The caste system transformed Indian genetics – David Reich

Oil Decided World War II – Daniel Yergin

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

How horse nomads took over Europe 5000 years ago – David Reich