With Pennsylvania and Georgia now flipping Blue in the vote count leads, it's looking even more likely that Biden will win the election. Because of the Blue Shift effect we've been observing across numerous states (caused mainly by mail votes being counted after election day votes in many states), it's unlikely that we'll see Georgia or Penn switch back to Red.
But it's not impossible.
After Arizona was called by many news outlets, we saw Trump's vote count begin to run up significantly. There's no guarantee this couldn't happen in Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. Still, it is unlikely to happen in each of them, and for Trump to win, he needs to win all three, plus North Carolina.
Alaska has still yet to be called, but will almost certainly end up in Trump's column.
It's worth noting that even with the projected results, these are still not "locked in". The official results do not technically exist until states certify them.
Expect a number of recounts and legal challenges to go on for some time.
Trump's campaign has not conceded, despite the leads that Biden has taken in Key States Georgia and Pennsylvania.
Indeed, the Trump camp has requested a recount in Wisconsin, where, with 99% reporting, the vote count is currently at: 49.6% Biden (1,630,568) to 48.9% Trump (1,610,029). The state allows for a recount if the margin of the result is within 1%. It's unlikely that a recount will make up a difference of over 20k votes. (Back in 2016, Jill Stein of the Green Party requested a recount in Wi, resulting in a net change of just 131 votes. Clinton gained 713; Trump 844.)
In Georgia, a recount is already being planned. With 99% reporting, the count is currently 49.4% for both candidates: Biden 2,450,154; Trump 2,448,570. That's a razor-thin margin of less than 2,000 votes. In Georgia, there are no mandated recounts, but a recount can be requested in races with a margin of no more than .5 percent of total votes cast.
In Michigan, a recount is mandated if the race is separated by 2k votes or fewer, but Biden's current lead exceeds that by quite a bit: around 150k votes. A recount can be requested by a candidate however, if there's evidence of fraud or error.
In Arizona, a non-mandatory recount may not be requested, but a recount is triggered if the margin of votes is .1 percent, or 200 or fewer votes in races with more than 25,000 votes. (Currently, with 90% reporting, Biden leads by 1.4%: 50% to 48.6%)
In Nevada, there is no mandatory recount, but a candidate can request one.
In Pennsylvania, a recount is mandated if the margin is .5% or less. A non-mandatory recount can also be requested if three qualified electors in each district being contested allege an error. (With 98% reporting, Biden's lead in Penn is currently around .1%. Biden has 49.5% to Trump's 49.4%--but this lead can be expected to increase, as more mail ballots are counted.)
Question Time
With Pennsylvania and Georgia now flipping Blue in the vote count leads, it's looking even more likely that Biden will win the election. Because of the Blue Shift effect we've been observing across numerous states (caused mainly by mail votes being counted after election day votes in many states), it's unlikely that we'll see Georgia or Penn switch back to Red.
But it's not impossible.
After Arizona was called by many news outlets, we saw Trump's vote count begin to run up significantly. There's no guarantee this couldn't happen in Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. Still, it is unlikely to happen in each of them, and for Trump to win, he needs to win all three, plus North Carolina.
Alaska has still yet to be called, but will almost certainly end up in Trump's column.
It's worth noting that even with the projected results, these are still not "locked in". The official results do not technically exist until states certify them.
Expect a number of recounts and legal challenges to go on for some time.
Trump's campaign has not conceded, despite the leads that Biden has taken in Key States Georgia and Pennsylvania.
Indeed, the Trump camp has requested a recount in Wisconsin, where, with 99% reporting, the vote count is currently at: 49.6% Biden (1,630,568) to 48.9% Trump (1,610,029). The state allows for a recount if the margin of the result is within 1%. It's unlikely that a recount will make up a difference of over 20k votes. (Back in 2016, Jill Stein of the Green Party requested a recount in Wi, resulting in a net change of just 131 votes. Clinton gained 713; Trump 844.)
In Georgia, a recount is already being planned. With 99% reporting, the count is currently 49.4% for both candidates: Biden 2,450,154; Trump 2,448,570. That's a razor-thin margin of less than 2,000 votes. In Georgia, there are no mandated recounts, but a recount can be requested in races with a margin of no more than .5 percent of total votes cast.
In Michigan, a recount is mandated if the race is separated by 2k votes or fewer, but Biden's current lead exceeds that by quite a bit: around 150k votes. A recount can be requested by a candidate however, if there's evidence of fraud or error.
In Arizona, a non-mandatory recount may not be requested, but a recount is triggered if the margin of votes is .1 percent, or 200 or fewer votes in races with more than 25,000 votes. (Currently, with 90% reporting, Biden leads by 1.4%: 50% to 48.6%)
In Nevada, there is no mandatory recount, but a candidate can request one.
In Pennsylvania, a recount is mandated if the margin is .5% or less. A non-mandatory recount can also be requested if three qualified electors in each district being contested allege an error. (With 98% reporting, Biden's lead in Penn is currently around .1%. Biden has 49.5% to Trump's 49.4%--but this lead can be expected to increase, as more mail ballots are counted.)
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