This forecast from SPC does not make any sense. They issue a high risk, then in that say multiple ef3+, then say the mode will be mainly linear and the potential for violent tornadoes will be in any discrete supercells that form out ahead of the line. Yet they dont expect much discrete storms to form, what the hell is happening with them 🤔
6 months ago
| 1
Ethan B
DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR INDIANA APRIL 2, 2025
There seems to be increasing confidence in significant instability developing into the area later this evening, yielding MLCAPE of up to 2,000 J/kg amid a potent LLJ. Because of the intensity of low-level flow (around 60 kts or so), effective SRH may amplify to values in excess of 400 m2/s2. The resulting parameter space, including STP for 4-6, is honestly the scariest severe weather threat I've seen in my area in years. If this pans out, it is possible that a tornado outbreak occurs in Indiana.
I'll do what I can to get footage, but given the potential density of storms, limitations to my vehicle attm, and the safety of my family, it could be a very difficult evening. Stay tuned!
Ethan B
April 2, 2025 11:45 AM EDT
6 months ago | [YT] | 6