Andre Wehrle

***NOT A FORECAST, JUST GRAPHICS WITH PRETTY COLORS***

***I'M ALSO NOT A METEOROLOGIST, BUT I DID STAY AT A HOLIDAY INN EXPRESS LAST NIGHT***

A couple of of the latest model runs for the expected post-Thanksgiving weekend winter storm. 3KM NAM has cut back on its totals from earlier runs a bit, giving Madison 8.2" through 18Z (noon CST) Sunday, while the RAP goes great guns at 15.5" through the same time frame.

As a long time weather watcher, the model consistency/agreement on a higher-end outcome for somewhere near the WI/IL state line has been quite good (this latest 3K NAM outlier notwithstanding). Severe convective weather is my bread and butter, so it takes an exceptional event to get me excited about a snow storm, and it's looking like this has the makings of one. Even the lower-end solution would be pretty unusual to have happen before the calendar even flips to December.

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 3