Casual Scholar

Which country is projected to experience the largest population decline of 22.5% from 2020 to 2050?

1 year ago | [YT] | 427



@liamphillips4370

I was going to guess Japan. That aging population makes me think that it's #2 on this list. Bulgaria being #1 makes sense though, since people can leave much faster than they can age.

1 year ago | 87

@Thekowaikaiju

I wish it showed how many people answered each after you vote lol. Had figurative money on Japan!

1 year ago | 32

@AlexSchendel

Asianometry just released a video about the rise and fall of Bulgarian computers! Seems the country has a much more interesting history than most of us in the west know.

1 year ago | 13

@dmnn69

Actually there might be some hope for Bulgaria here. Recent numbers from the National Statistics Institute show an increase of the birth rate to 1.78 per woman, which puts Bulgaria as one of the most fertile countries in Europe currently. Also, since 2020 there has been positive net migration year after year (NSI stats again). If these trends continue, Bulgaria might stop shrinking in the very near future :)

1 year ago | 12

@stoyan.dimitrov.01

As a Bulgarian I can agree.

1 year ago | 6

@Shadowarfare117

I really thought it would be Japan, but now I feel for the Bulgarian people. That must really suck for those who stay trying to pick up the pieces.

1 year ago | 9

@J_X999

Countries need to a lot more for their birth rates. Japan and South Korea have done very close to nothing apart from irrelevant cash incentives. Low birth rates aren't permanent, but require big solutions and changes to a country's society and workforce. E.g - improved childcare services that are not expensive yet reliable would allow Japanese people to balance their careers with child raising. It's not a magic bullet, but it represents a wider solution.

1 year ago | 20

@anderarmould

The Prussia of the Balkans had a GOOD run...

1 year ago | 5

@nicky42742

Latvia mentioned ☝💪💪

1 year ago | 0

@ROXANNE708

😭I always get these wrong!

1 year ago | 1

@ryanm7263

Canada is also experiencing massive outbound migration, both of recent immigrants and born-Canadians, but the regime just keeps shipping more and more in so the population keeps growing.

1 year ago | 7

@davidmurphy563

Bulgaria's brain drain is a real pity as their economy has been showing strong growth. Very likely we'll end up with another ROI / Poland situation where the emigration reverses.

1 year ago | 2

@patrickjanecke5894

China: hold my beer.

1 year ago | 1

@bgc.official11

God save Bulgaria Амин

1 year ago | 1

@teejay6063

Botswana

1 year ago | 0

@TheSteinbitt

I guessed Russia due to losses in the war they are loosing and emigration.

1 year ago | 3

@ResurrectedElvenMonk

Just guessed Bulgaria.

1 year ago | 0

@Smashball987

I was going to guess Japan, I know they’ve had a declining population for years.

1 year ago | 1

@om4313284

Iran

1 year ago | 0

@Usage-g1c

Really!? I thought Japan for sure but I know next to nothing about Bulgaria.

1 year ago | 0