Mario Randholm

La gestión de riesgos es dolorosa.
Tienes que decidir qué duele más:
1. Perder dinero en el upside.
2. O perder dinero en el downside.
Ese es el tradeoff.

3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

Market volatility is heating up amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, and savvy investors are taking note.

Last week, the S&P 500 closed below its balance range bottom, dipping about 1% on Monday before a choppy ride: gaps down followed by higher closes on Tuesday and beyond. www.mariorandholm.com/2026/03/09/nasdaq-at-the-low…

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

Mario Randholm

NEW youtube.com/live/SMQTa6K_MJA

Test one, two, three… WE ARE LIVE!


Nvidia just dropped the biggest catalyst of the week and the market is waking up FAST. In today’s pre-market live we break down:→ Nvidia earnings reaction – Did AI valuation fears finally die?
→ S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell – Are we breaking the downtrend or just a dead-cat bounce?
→ Real 2:1 risk/reward long setups on ES, NQ, Tesla, Bitcoin & Gold
→ Market internals at the open (9:1 NYSE advancers, VIX crushing to 20)
→ Why the bulls MUST hold these exact levels today or bears take back control Time-stamps:
0:00 Going live – Nvidia is the news of the day
0:18 Top headlines: Nvidia beats, Oil rebound, Japan stimulus
2:11 Economic calendar & earnings today
7:14 S&P & Nasdaq – Is 3% retracement enough?
12:04 Bitcoin vs Nasdaq correlation is insane right now
14:06 Euro/Dollar trendline breakdown
15:27 BTC/USDT – Bulls have to defend 43k or we short 2:1
17:32 Crude oil triangle – Break coming
22:14 ES & NQ – Exact 2:1 long entries I’m watching
26:30 Silver & Gold still strong 14-day
28:15 Mag7 individual stocks (Apple, Tesla, Meta, MSFT, NVDA)
44:40 Final 5 minutes before the bell
49:41 Market OPEN – Instant 9:1 advancers, gap & go!


If you trade futures, options, or just love real-time technical analysis with clean risk/reward – smash LIKE and SUBSCRIBE with bell on so you never miss the 8:30 AM EST live every trading day!Risk Disclosure: Trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor.#NvidiaEarnings #StockMarketLive #DayTrading #SP500 #Nasdaq

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

NEW: youtube.com/live/Vhvl8AjJpaA

Market starting to crack?
Today we saw clear warning signs across every timeframe:
• S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow all testing major monthly support
• 3 consecutive negative weekly candles (first time since the 2024 correction)
• VIX broke and closed above 20 → fear is back
• New lows vs new highs exploding (300+ NYSE stocks at 52-week lows)
• Nasdaq already broke yesterday’s low overnight
• Global markets weak: Japan, China, Europe all closed red
• Bitcoin –11% in 5 days, Gold & Silver rolling over

Key levels we watched live:
– ES defending 6,637–6,650 zone (October open)
– QQQ already under yesterday’s low
– Nvidia earnings after the close → make-or-break catalyst
– Possible 2:1 long setups on Gold & Silver if support holds

Real-time trades & order flow discussed:
– Went long Gold at the 4,000 defense zone
– Long Silver targeting all-time highs (3:1 setup)
– Watching ES/NQ opening print, TICK, advancing/declining issues & sector rotation

Market internals flipped from red to positive in the first minutes – is this another bear trap or the start of something bigger?If you trade SPY, QQQ, ES_F, NQ_F, Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Gold (GC), Silver (SI) or Bitcoin – this stream shows exactly how the tape looked the day Nvidia reported. Hit LIKE if you’re watching Nvidia earnings tonight!
Subscribe + turn on bell – I stream the US open live almost every day.Timestamps:
00:00 – Global markets red + Cloudflare outage
01:30 – Economic calendar & Treasury flow data
03:20 – S&P 500 daily/weekly/monthly breakdown
07:10 – VIX 20 + new lows exploding
12:40 – Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Oil update
17:00 – Final ES/NQ levels before the open
23:50 – Live Gold & Silver trade entries
30:30 – Opening print reaction + market internals flip#SP500 #NvidiaEarnings #DayTrading #LiveTrading #ES_F #NQ_F #VIX #StockMarketCrash #FuturesTrading #PriceAction #NvidiaStock100%

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

NEW VIDEO

youtube.com/live/Vdp8dAIcs_8

LIVE MARKET OPEN: Futures Plunge, Tech Bleeds, Gold & Silver Surge!
Watch the full pre-market & live open analysis as S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow futures drop hard before the bell. We break down weak internals, broken trendlines, and real-time trades on ES, NQ, Gold, Crude, Bitcoin & Big Tech (Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Google). Timestamps:


0:00 – Intro: Weak Price Action Pre-Open
0:52 – Top Headlines: Disney Misses, Google AI Drama, EU Antitrust
2:03 – Major News: Michael Burry Returns Capital, Musk Fined in Spain
3:20 – Global Markets: Asia Red, Europe Mixed, Brazil Flat
5:06 – Economic Calendar: Delayed CPI & Jobless Claims
6:12 – Overnight Trends: China Strength, Europe Holding, US Pullback
7:20 – S&P 500 Analysis: Gap Untested, Weekly Red Candles
9:12 – Market Internals: New Highs vs Lows, Volatility Watch
10:10 – Gold & Silver ON FIRE, Crude & Bitcoin WEAK
13:18 – Euro Futures: Trendline Breaks
14:38 – Bitcoin: Bulls Defend $99K
15:19 – Crude Oil: Bearish Reversal, $55 Target?
17:11 – ES Short Setup: 2:1 Risk-Reward to October Lows
20:36 – Gold Breakout: 2:1 Long Still Active
26:23 – Apple Bull Flag, AMD Surge, Amazon Test
30:36 – Nvidia Tricky Gap, Oracle Fills Void
33:51 – MARKET OPEN: Advance/Decline 700+ Negative
37:05 – Volume Profile: Key Support Zones
39:18 – NQ Gap 200 Points Below – Bears in Control?
47:24 – Trendline Breaks: NQ & ES Flash Lower
50:12 – 3 Consecutive Red 5-Min Candles – Gap Fill Incoming?
55:38 – NQ Target: 25,400 Battle Zone
1:14:16 – Live Trade Management: Shorts & Stops
1:21:50 – Closing Thoughts + Demo Trade Recap Key Themes:
Fed rate cut odds drop to 51% – hawkish Fed kills rally
Tech leads the selloff – Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla weak
Gold & Silver breakout – safe-haven bid intensifies
Crude & Bitcoin collapse – risk-off dominates
Real-time order flow, volume profile & trendline analysis Subscribe & Turn On Alerts for daily live pre-market breakdowns!
Join our FREE Discord: randbots.com
Follow for live charts, alerts & trade ideas #StockMarket #FedRateCut #SP500 #NASDAQ #DayTrading #Gold #Bitcoin #LiveTrading #MarketCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #FuturesTrading

5 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

LIVE Stock Market Update: Futures opened strong with ES +60 points overnight, NQ gapping up to ~6,900. But in just 25 minutes post-open, NQ plunged 200+ points despite positive market internals and zero heavy selling in TICKs. What Happened? GM pushes suppliers to exit China
Russian oil exports hold firm vs sanctions
Equity futures: US & Asia green, Europe mixed (FTSE red)
Gold & silver rally, Bitcoin flat
Key Levels: ES near POC, value area support at 25,600–25,700
Divergence Alert: ES holds, NQ tanks — Apple, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA all sold off hard

Real-Time Action (First 40 Mins): Gap filled fast on NQ
Large 60-contract buy signals ignored
TICKs stayed elevated, but mega-caps dragged NQ lower
Acceleration to downside with no matching volume panic

Trading Takeaways: Watch 2:1 risk-reward setups in gold
ES may test November open if internals hold
NQ weakness = potential rotation play

Join the next live stream for pre-market prep, NinjaTrader charts, Thinkorswim setups, and real-time order flow.

5 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

El Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) votó por reducir la tasa de fondos federales en 25 puntos básicos a un rango objetivo de 3.75% a 4.0% en la reunión de octubre. Los miembros del FOMC también decidieron concluir su programa de ajuste cuantitativo (QT), efectivo a partir del 1 de diciembre. El programa de QT ha permitido que el balance de la Fed se reduzca en más de $2.2 billones desde un pico de $9 billones en abril de 2022 hasta su nivel actual de $6.6 billones.

5 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to lower the federal funds rate 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4.0% at the October meeting. FOMC members also decided to conclude their quantitative tightening (QT) program, effective December 1st. The QT program has enabled the Fed’s balance sheet to shrink by more than $2.2 trillion from a peak of $9 trillion in April 2022 to its current $6.6 trillion level.

5 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

El Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) votó por reducir la tasa de fondos federales en 25 puntos básicos a un rango objetivo de 3.75% a 4.0% en la reunión de octubre. Los miembros del FOMC también decidieron concluir su programa de ajuste cuantitativo (QT), efectivo a partir del 1 de diciembre. El programa de QT ha permitido que el balance de la Fed se reduzca en más de $2.2 billones desde un pico de $9 billones en abril de 2022 hasta su nivel actual de $6.6 billones.

5 months ago | [YT] | 0

Mario Randholm

Gold is giving us a lesson in statistics:

New Video

youtube.com/live/izeExmbe1Hs?si=Fmv2QW-mPD0tEY26

Today’s move, −5.7%, is atypical: a 4.46-sigma event.

In a “normal” world, that should happen once every 240,000 trading days. In reality, drops between −4.67% and −6.00% have occurred 34 times since 1971, that is, over 13,088 trading days (0.26% = once every 385 days).

Even larger declines have happened 21 times since 1971.
Message: gold is not a low-volatility asset.

The lack of selling fueled the last rally.

Now comes profit-taking. My question is for how long.

What does it mean? Statistically, the most likely scenario is calmer days ahead. We’ll see… I take it day by day.

Don’t panic now—it’s gold, and that’s more than manageable.

A single lesson: markets do not follow a normal distribution.

Tail events—tail risk—cluster together; kurtosis rewards good risk management, and anyone relying on a 4-sigma model to explain gold just got another reminder of a non-Gaussian reality.

5 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0