The Creative Investor

I want to be very clear, I have grown more optimistic on the prospects of a Soft Landing.

Am I sold on it? No.

We won't know for many more months.
But I am positioned for it.

I have not sold a single long term stock, Because you never should unless the Business itself gets worse.

BUT let's be clear, In the short term starting next week.. The Odds of a correction are quite high.

1. The Last Full Week of trading before the election- If we are going to price in election risk at all for equities.. it will start this week. Will that get priced in? Not sure. But a good chance it does.

2. Big Tech earnings. Sure Earnings expectations have fallen a bit, but not much for big tech. More importantly, from a reasonable perspective these stocks have more to lose from a bad report than to gain from a good report. These stocks are trading at multiples most analysts would have cried about 5 years Ago, especially $AAPL. (No Growth Stock for years)

3. $AAPL Intelligence Launches on Monday. Will this Service be a wild success? Eventually.
But likely not for a couple of years. What do you think Wall Street will do when Apple intelligence doesn't meet expectations? Really the second AI product ever that is expected to merge AI into the mainstream population. It could throw into question the massive capex budgets Big tech is setting aside for AI investment. Wallstreet is NOT prepared for the AI Capex to take 3-5yrs to post meaningful gains. But Again, is this a guarantee? Obviously not. But is it super far fetched? Absolutely not.

4. Economic data dump this week. I'm actually more optimistic on these sets of catalyst. god forbid we miss on Econ data right before an Election. But nevertheless still possible we do miss.

5. Conclusion: If you have the means, Get More Cash ready. You want to buy the correction dip. Is this the time to sell everything? No.
I don't believe in that. You want to position yourself to benefit in any outcome. Like the Old saying "Prepare for the worst, hope for the best"

I think that makes the most sense in the short term.

Call Me Crazy.. But Corrections do Happen from time to time. 🤷🏼‍♂️

1 year ago | [YT] | 18

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The Creative Investor

On a Scale of 1-10 how Bearish are You?

1 year ago | [YT] | 13

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The Creative Investor

How does the Economy feel to you?

1 year ago | [YT] | 12

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The Creative Investor

Well, I messaged Adam Aron on behalf of all AMC Stock Investors. (First Ever Personal Message to Him)

We Will See if he responds, Ill keep you posted.

1 year ago | [YT] | 58

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The Creative Investor

Should I continue to cover AMC?

1 year ago | [YT] | 16

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The Creative Investor

Should We Cover...

1 year ago | [YT] | 7

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The Creative Investor

Should We Continue to Cover AMC Stock on this Channel?

1 year ago | [YT] | 10

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