Basement Breakdown

Lumpinee 143 | ONE Friday Fights 143 🔥

🎯 PARLAY CORE PICKS
🟢 Lower Risk Core
* 🇯🇵 Yoshida Kosei – Decision win
* 🇮🇱 Shir Cohen – Strongest lock on the board
* 🇹🇭 Lamsing T1 Fight Academy – R1/R2 KO upside
These three form the safest base for parlays.

✅ OTHER STRONG PICKS
* 🇹🇭 Nakrob Fairtex – Should get a KO… but we don’t know which version shows up. If it’s old Nakrob, he rolls.
* 🇲🇦 Ayoub Yassine – Not fully adjusted to Thai toughness yet. Dangerous test.
* 🇹🇭 Wanchainoi Sor Tor Hiewbangsaen – RWS top 10 talent, should control and lead.
* 🇬🇪 Elene Loladze – Far superior striker. MMA in a ring is the only concern due to her long frame.

🚨 UPSET / DISAPPOINTMENT ALERTS 🚨
These are NOT auto fades — but be careful betting against them.
🟠 Moderate Risk Spots
* 🇱🇦 Songpandin Chor Kaewwiset – Rambong being 1.25 is wild. Chin issues exist. Be aware.
* 🇹🇭 Petchayut Nupranburi – Could flip favorite. Masatoshi better technically but older.
* 🇹🇭 Panrit Lukjaomaesaiwaree – Was robbed last time. Nakrob not himself lately.
* 🇹🇭 Wuttikrai Wor Chakrawut – Ayoub’s toughest Thai test yet.
🔴 HIGH UPSET POTENTIAL
* 🇹🇭 Teeyai Torfunfarm – Sensible pick is Anon… BUT Teeyai nuked Yodudon in R1, and Anon arguably lost to him. This screams hedge spot.
* 🇹🇭 Denkriangkrai Mavinn Muaythai – Tough, durable, better in 5 rounds. Can absolutely grind this out if opponent slips.
⚠️ Card is FULL of pick’ems. Don’t overload favorites.

🎲 PROP BET SPOTS
💥 NO DISTANCE
* Loladze vs Sarah – Violence likely. High value.
🧱 GO DISTANCE
* Denkriangkrai vs Petapichat – Very safe stylistically.
🥊 Method Props
* Lamsing – R1/R2 KO
* Yoshida – Decision
* Nakrob – KO

🐶 LIVE UNDERDOG VALUE
* 🇮🇷 Nazanin Hoseini – 3X value
* 🇹🇭 Teeyai – Best hedge on the board
This card may shift — some of these could flip to dog value closer to fight time.

🔒 POSSIBLE LOCKS
🟢 Shir Cohen🟢 Lamsing🟢 Wanchainoi🟢 Elene Loladze
🤔 Nakrob is tricky. A year ago he’s a lock. Now? Proceed carefully.
🇯🇵 Riku Ito could offer sneaky value as well.

🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS
This is NOT a safe parlay card. It’s a sharp bettor’s card.Too many close matchups. Manage risk wisely.
If you’re playing parlays:Keep them tight. Hedge intelligently. Don’t chase.

#️⃣ #ONEFridayFights143 #Lumpinee143 #MuayThai #ONEChampionship #FightPicks #SportsBetting #MuayThaiBets #Kickboxing #MMA #LumpineeStadium

1 day ago | [YT] | 15

Basement Breakdown

Jackie Buntan vs. Stella HemetsbergerStrawweight Kickboxing World Title Rematch – Redemption vs. Two-Sport Glory
🥊 Interim Featherweight Muay Thai Title
Shadow Singha Mawynn vs. Nico Carrillo
🔥 Featured Fights
Danny KingadAdrian Lee 🟢 LOCK OF THE CARDFabricio AndreyBlack Panther 🟡 MID/SAFE Possible Lock

#BasementBreakdown #ONEFightNight40 #ONEChampionship #MuayThai #Kickboxing #MMA #FightBreakdown #CombatSports #BuntanVsHemetsberger

1 week ago | [YT] | 21

Basement Breakdown

🔥 BEST PICKS ACROSS BOTH CARDS
🟡 Khasan Salomov (1.5) – MID/SAFE🟡 Khusen Salomov (1.4) – MID/SAFE🟢 Panpadej (1.5) – SAFE 🔐🟢 Adrian Lee – SAFE 🔐 LOCK OF THE 2ND CARD
These are the strongest parlay anchors across both events.

💰 OTHER DECENT PICKS
🟢 Payak (1.5) – Rematch spot, I think he gets it done🟡 Zhang Peimian (1.4) – High-level kickboxing edge🟡 Jurai Ishii (1.78) – Close fight, competitive🟠 Payakrut (1.45) – Careful, possible upset spot

🐕 POSSIBLE DOGS
🟠 Gregor Thom (2.5) – Live underdog, odds may shift🟠 Shadow (2.3) – Fan vs fan matchup, solid value at dog odds🟠 Danny Kingad (2.5) – Veteran dog with experience edge

🔴 VALUE DOGS (HIGH RISK – NOT OFFICIAL)
• Riamu Matsumoto• Alexia Fontaine
High risk swings. Sprinkle only.

🎯 2ND CARD PREDICTIONS
🟡 Black Panther – MID/SAFE possible lock🟢 Adrian Lee – LOCK OF THE CARD

🎥 MAIN EVENT SPOTLIGHT
ONE Championship – ONE Friday Fights 142

Flyweight Muay Thai Main Event:Apiwat Sor Somnuk vs Panpadej NF LooksuanKnockout artists. Contract implications. Someone’s getting a life-changing moment.
Co-Main:Donking Yotharakmuaythai vs Gregor ThomScottish power vs rising Thai star.

Featured Kickboxing Attraction

Former world title challengers collide:“El Jefe” Ellis Badr Barboza vs “Fighting Rooster” Zhang Peimian
This one shapes the strawweight kickboxing title picture.

🧠 PARLAY CORE (Safer Build)
• Khasan Salomov• Khusen Salomov• Panpadej• Adrian Lee
Add:• Black Panther• Payak• Jurai Ishii
Riskier adds for bigger payout:• Gregor Thom 🐕• Danny Kingad 🐕• Shadow 🐕

This is fight week breakdowns done right — smart reads, honest risk assessment, and no chasing hype.
If you rock with calculated aggression and real fight analysis:
👍 Like💬 Comment your parlays🔔 Subscribe to Basement Breakdown
#ONEChampionship #ONEFridayFights142 #MuayThai #MMA #Kickboxing #SportsBetting #FightPicks #BasementBreakdown

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1 week ago | [YT] | 7

Basement Breakdown

UFC Fight Night Bautista vs. Oliveira: Final Picks adjusted cancelled bout

1 week ago | [YT] | 12

Basement Breakdown

UFC Vegas 113 – Bautista vs. Oliveira Full Card Breakdown

Klaudia Sygula (-142) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+120)
🟢 Pick: Klaudia Sygula
Muin Gafurov (-115) vs. Jakub Wikłacz (-105)
🟢 Pick: Muin Gafurov
Wang Cong (-355) vs. Eduarda Moura (+280)
🟢 Pick: Wang Cong
📊 Lean: Over 2.5 Rounds (-195)
Said Nurmagomedov (-105) vs. Javid Basharat (-115)
🟢 Pick: Said Nurmagomedov
📊 Prop: Over 2.5 Rounds
Bruna Brasil (+136) vs. Ketlen Souza (-162)
🟢 Pick: Ketlen Souza
Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Niko Price (Odds not listed)
🟢 Pick: Nikolay Veretennikov
Daniil Donchenko (-600) vs. Alex Morono (+440)
🟢 Pick: Daniil Donchenko
📊 Prop: Under 1.5 Rounds (-140)
🔥 MAIN CARD
Julius Walker (+154) vs. Dustin Jacoby (-185)
🟢 Pick: Dustin Jacoby
🌙 Longshot: Jacoby KO – Round 2
Jean Matsumoto (+230) vs. Farid Basharat (-285)
🟢 Pick: Farid Basharat
📊 Alt: Matsumoto +3.5 (-135)
📊 Lean: Over 2.5 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk (-340) vs. Marc-André Barriault (+270)
🟢 Pick: Michal Oleksiejczuk
📊 Prop: Under 1.5 Rounds (-160)
📊 Alt: Oleksiejczuk by TKO/KO
Jailton Almeida (-142) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (+120)
🟢 Pick: Jailton Almeida
📊 Lean: Over 2.5 Rounds
📊 Prop: Almeida by Points
Amir Albazi (+275) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (-345)
🟢 Pick: Kyoji Horiguchi
📊 Alt: Horiguchi by Points
🌙 Longshot: Horiguchi 1st Round KO/TKO (+1000)
Mario Bautista (-192) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (+160)
🟢 Pick: Mario Bautista
📊 Side Bet: Fight Goes to Decision
📊 Dog Play: Oliveira ML (+160)
💰 PARLAYS FOR THE CARD
🟢 SAFE PARLAY
• Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza Over 2.5 Rounds
• Daniil Donchenko Moneyline (-600)
• Michal Oleksiejczuk Moneyline (-340)
🧠 Methodical fights + clear favorites
🟡 MEDIUM RISK PARLAY (Decision Heavy)
• Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura Over 2.5 Rounds (-195)
• Jean Matsumoto vs. Farid Basharat Over 2.5 Rounds
• Jailton Almeida vs. Rizvan Kuniev Over 2.5 Rounds
🧠 Durability, cardio, and control
🔴 RISK PARLAY
• Mario Bautista Moneyline (-192)
• Kyoji Horiguchi By Points (-345)
• Michal Oleksiejczuk By TKO/KO
🧠 Skill gap + finishing upside
🎯 SIDE BETS / PROPS
• Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira Goes to Decision
• Jailton Almeida By Points
• Said Nurmagomedov vs. Javid Basharat Over 2.5 Rounds
🌙 LONGSHOT
• Dustin Jacoby KO – Round 2
#BasementBreakdown #UFCVegas113 #UFCPicks #UFCOdds #UFCParlays #MMABetting #MMAOdds #FightBreakdown #UFCAnalysis #SportsBetting #BettingPicks #MMAParlays #UFCPrelims #UFCMainCard #FightNight

2 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 16

Basement Breakdown

Lumpinee ONE Friday Fights 141 | Fight Analysis, Predictions & Parlay Picks

🔥 Fight Predictions & Risk Assessment:
* Komawut FA Group vs. Samingdam NF Looksuan – Pick: Samingdam ⚠️ Mid / 50-50
* Detchawalit Silkmuaythai vs. Saw Min Min – Pick: Detchawalit ✅ Safe
* Khunpon Aekmuangnon vs. Sornsueknoi FA Group – Pick: Khunpon ⚠️ Mid
* Face Erawan vs. Soe Naung Oo – Pick: Soe Naung Oo ⚠️ Risk
* Mamuka Usubyan vs. Yassin Airad – Pick: 50/50 ⚠️ Mid
* Gabriele Moram vs. Francisca Vera – Pick: Francisca Vera ⚠️ Mid
* Chokdee Maxjandee vs. Mahesuan Aekmuangnon – Pick: Mahesuan ⚠️ Mid
* Hero Marco Manguray vs. Myke Ohura – Pick: Marco Manguray ⚠️ Risk
* Lamnamoonlek TDed99 vs. Daniel Puertas – Pick: Lamnamoonlek ⚠️ Mid / Safe
* Johan Ghazali vs. Ye Yint Naung – Pick: Johan Ghazali ✅ Safe
* Adam Sor Dechapan vs. Walid Snoussi – Pick: Walid Snoussi ⚠️ Risk
* Lin Htet Aung vs. Haruyuki Tanitsu – Pick: Haruyuki Tanitsu ⚠️ Risk
* Moises Lois Ilogon vs. Masaki Suzuki – Pick: Moises Lois Ilogon ⚠️ Risk
💥 Parlay & Betting Tips:
* Safe picks: ✅ Lamnamoonlek, Johan Ghazali, Detchawalit
* Medium risk: ⚠️ Khunpon, Komawut/Samingdam, Chokdee/Mahesuan
* High risk / dark horses: ⚠️ Soe Naung Oo, Marco Manguray, Walid Snoussi

📌 Don’t forget to LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE 🔔, and COMMENT below on your predictions for ONE Friday Fights 141!
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2 weeks ago | [YT] | 19

Basement Breakdown

We are 7/12 overall on picks going into the main event

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 3

Basement Breakdown

Basement Breakdown delivers a full odds-based prediction & risk assessment for ONE Friday Fights 140.
⚠️ High-variance card — early fights, short notice changes, chin & cardio risks everywhere. Bet smart.


FIGHT PICKS (SHORT NOTES)
Bout 1 | Middleweight Submission GrapplingKoki Ichikawa (+150) vs Henrique de Almeida (-180)❌ SKIP / DOG – Size vs age, leg-lock chaos
Bout 2 | Bantamweight MMAKazat Alymbek Uulu (-140) vs Waldi Britez (+120)🟡 Kazat – Strong top control, submission danger
Bout 3 | Bantamweight KickboxingChalamkaw (+180) vs Ranma (-220)❌ SKIP / DOG – No footage, chin risk
Bout 4 | Flyweight KickboxingDanila Vasilikhin (+250) vs Retsu Sashida (-300)🟢 Retsu – Late replacement, durability edge
Bout 5 | Flyweight MMAViet Anh Do (+130) vs Jean Claude Saclag (-150)🟡 Saclag – Size & power, cardio question
Bout 6 | Flyweight KickboxingChen Jiyai (+160) vs Hiroki Naruo (-190)❌ DOG / SKIP – Skill vs weak chin
Bout 7 | Bantamweight Muay ThaiAntar Kacem (-300) vs Hamza Rachid (+220)🟠 Antar – Better striker, price is bad
Bout 8 | Flyweight Muay ThaiPepsi (-140) vs Petmuangdet (+120)🟡 Pepsi – Low output, decision angle
Bout 9 | Women’s Strawweight Muay ThaiYara Saleh (+180) vs Zoe Neuschwander (-220)🟢 Zoe – Cleaner fundamentals, possible KO
Bout 10 | Flyweight Muay ThaiImam Gadzhiev (-200) vs Rungruanlek (+170)🟢 Imam – Body kicks, athletic edge
Bout 11 | Flyweight Muay ThaiSanpet (-160) vs Jaradchai (+140)🟡 Jaradchai – Pressure & durability
Bout 12 | Flyweight Muay ThaiSanit (-250) vs Isannuea (+200)❌ DOG / SKIP – 50/50 war
Bout 13 | Bantamweight Muay ThaiSonrak (-150) vs Buakhiao (+130)🟠 Buakhiao – Toughness, close fight
Bout 14 | Strawweight Muay Thai (Main Event)Kongchai (-180) vs Thway Lin Htet (+150)🟠 Thway – Durability, big moment threat

💰 Quick Parlay Notes
🟢 Safer Core
* Imam Gadzhiev
* Retsu Sashida
* Zoe Neuschwander
🟡 Mid Risk
* Jean Claude Saclag
* Jaradchai
* Antar Kacem (price dependent)
🔴 DOGS / FUN ONLY
* Buakhiao
* Thway Lin Htet
* Isannuea
* Chen Jiyai
* Koki Ichikawa

⚠️ Disclaimer
Odds move fast. ONE judging is wild.Skip bad spots. Don’t force parlays.

🏷 Hashtags
#ONEFridayFights140 #ONEChampionship #MuayThai #Kickboxing #MMA#FightOdds #ParlayPicks #Underdogs #BasementBreakdown

3 weeks ago | [YT] | 13

Basement Breakdown

OUR PICKS FOR UFC 325 🔥🔥🔥


✅ Namsrai Batbayar (-130)✅ Sulangrangbo (-260)✅ Sebastian Szalay (-130)✅ Kim Sang-wook (+130)✅ Kaan Ofli (+168)✅ Jonathan Micallef (-130)✅ Torrez Finney (+125)✅ Cam Rowston (-360)✅ Billy Elekana (-255)✅ Quillan Salkilld (-900)✅ Tallison Teixeira (-370)✅ Rafael Fiziev (+100)✅ Benoit Saint-Denis (-350)✅ Alexander Volkanovski (-142)

📊 MAIN EVENT ODDS (CONSENSUS)
* Alexander Volkanovski: ~ -138 to -157
* Diego Lopes: ~ +115 to +138
* Dan Hooker: ~ +250 to +300
* Benoit Saint-Denis: ~ -299 to -384
* Rafael Fiziev: ~ -104 to +110
* Mauricio Ruffy: ~ -117 to -132

💰 PARLAYS OF THE CARD (CALCULATED)
🟢 SAFE PARLAY (+407)
* Micallef vs Elliott Over 2.5 Rounds (-110)
* Billy Elekana Moneyline (-255)
* Quillan Salkilld by KO (-110)

🟡 MEDIUM RISK PARLAY (+537)
* Malkoun vs Finney Over 2.5 Rounds (-110)
* Tallison Teixeira Moneyline (-370)
* Sulangrangbo Moneyline (-260)
* Fiziev vs Ruffy Over 2.5 Rounds (-110)

🔴 RISK PARLAY (+389)
* Alexander Volkanovski by Points (-110)
* Rafael Fiziev Moneyline (+100)
* Cam Rowston Moneyline (-360)

If you rock with the breakdown, like, comment, and subscribe — we’re grinding every card 💥
#BasementBreakdown #MMA #UFC #MMAPicks #FightBreakdown #BettingOdds #MMABetting #FightNight #Parlays #Underdogs #MainEvent
UFC 325 Picks & Parlays | Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 Full Card Breakdown

3 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 8

Basement Breakdown

ONE Fight Night 39: Rambolek vs Dayakaev

💰 RISK ASSESSMENT & BETTING ADVICE
Bout 1
⚪ SKIPOdds not worth the risk — no value here.

Bout 2
🟡 Vladimir KuzminLow odds. Facing an undefeated opponent, but that opponent is a level or two below.Kuzmin has fought better competition and is the cleaner striker.➡️ Playable but not parlay-friendly

Bout 3
🟢 Ryohei Kurosawa 🐕 (Underdog)Bigger, stronger, likely better wrestling, and serviceable striking.➡️ Live dog with real upside

Bout 4
🟡 Helena CrevarMore accomplished grappler with serious accolades.⚠️ Grappling always carries risk + judging/robbery potential.➡️ High skill, moderate risk

Bout 5
🟢 Mohammad SiasaraniLow odds but strong stylistic edge.Pure kickboxer vs MMA fighter transitioning to kickboxing for one fight.➡️ Solid play

Bout 6
🟢 Chihiro SawadaBoth fighters struggle striking.Chihiro is clearly the stronger wrestler and grappler.➡️ Good control-based pick

Bout 7
🔴 Chase Mann (Longshot)Very risky, low-level MMA matchup.There is a path to victory, but tread carefully.➡️ Sprinkle only

Bout 8
🟢🟢 Asadula Imangazaliev 🔒 LOCKElite striker — arguably the best on the card.➡️ Best bet / parlay anchor

⚠️ DISCLAIMER
All betting advice is opinion-based.Always manage your bankroll and never chase losses.

👍 Like the video💬 Drop your picks in the comments🔔 Subscribe for weekly fight breakdowns

🔖 HASHTAGS
#BasementBreakdown#ONEFightNight39#ONEChampionship#MMAAnalysis#FightBreakdowns#MMABetting#MuayThai#Kickboxing#SubmissionGrappling#CombatSports

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 12