FINDING GNOSIS - Invidious

FINDING GNOSIS

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FINDING GNOSIS

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8 hours ago | [YT] | 0

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FINDING GNOSIS

Trump has started something he has got to finish.

There is nothing quite like attacking a regime, killing its leader, and talking regime change to increase that regime’s incentive to get nuclear weapons as fast as possible.

He went in there saying he did not want Iran to have nuclear bomb capability.

But by killing the previous leader — the father of the current leader — whilst leaving the regime itself in place, he may have handed the new leader, and the regime he has not eradicated, even more reason to get nuclear bombs OR set about ABSOLUTELY DESTROYING their enemies in some other manner:

i) To literally save their own skin as individuals.
ii) To avenge the death of their previous leader and, in the instance of the current leader, his own father.
iii) To cause a fracture in world order and make themselves stronger and less likely to be beholden to America or Israel in any way in future.
iv) To end Israel's supreme power in the region.

Trump said going into this war, as did Netanyahu, that Iran must not have nuclear bomb capability. But if the regime remains standing, and especially after what has now happened, then the incentive structure has only grown stronger in favour of acquiring exactly that.

Nothing but complete regime change may now suffice for them if they do not want to be seen as losers in this war by failing to achieve what their actions have made strategically necessary.

If they do not get that regime change, things will look bleak for them in the region going forward. Iran will have an even bigger axe to grind and, after the heat has dissipated, this may become an elongated cold war the likes of which may make the Russia-West one look like mere pantomime.

How do the USA and Israel end this war in a winning, or even satisfactory, position? That is the million-dollar question. They are between a rock and a hard place. Russia and China are not going to allow one of their strongest allies to be obliterated completely, are they now?

Iran may also keep in place a toll gate at the Strait of Hormuz and hold much of the world in its hand for quite some time. China will be emboldened by this, especially as more trade is pushed away from the dollar and toward yuan. The coffers of Iran may grow, as may the power of China. And Russia, of course, will take delight in the division of labour that its enemies must now practise with greater vigour, allowing them to grow stronger against a financially and militarily weakened opposition.

There be trouble now, and there be trouble afoot.

What do you think is going to happen going forward?