StickyTrades

⚠️ THE MARKET JUST FLASHED A WARNING — Here’s What Traders Should Be Watching

The major indexes are beginning to show something traders don’t want to ignore: lower highs, lower lows, weakening momentum, and nearby price gaps.
In the latest Stickytrades Weekly Market Report, AJ Monte breaks down what is developing across DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, and the VIX — and why several technical signals are now pointing toward increased downside risk.

But there’s a bigger lesson here than simply whether the market moves higher or lower.

📉 Price gaps could become important
DIA, IWM, QQQ, and SPY all have areas where previous gaps may influence price action.

Why does that matter?
A gap represents an area where relatively little trading occurred between two price levels. When price returns toward that area, traders often watch closely for a potential reaction.

The important part isn't simply identifying a gap. It's understanding what price does when it gets there.
Does momentum accelerate through it?
Does price stall?
Does a reversal candle appear?
Does the CCI begin changing direction?
Those additional pieces of evidence can provide far more information than treating a gap level as a standalone signal.

📊 CCI is also sending an important message
AJ explains the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) settings he uses and why this indicator remains an important part of his chart analysis.
One concept worth understanding is that momentum can begin changing before the price chart makes the move obvious.

That’s why combining price structure with indicators can be useful.
A lower high and lower low may establish the pivot. CCI and stochastic can then provide additional information about whether momentum is strengthening or weakening.

No single indicator should be viewed in isolation. The educational value comes from learning how multiple pieces of technical evidence interact.

🔤 Then there’s the ABCD pattern…
If the market reaches a gap area and rebounds, that doesn’t necessarily mean the larger move is finished.

AJ explains how an ABCD structure could potentially develop following a bounce.
Understanding this pattern can help traders distinguish between a potential trend reversal and a temporary countertrend move.

🌎 And QQQ has another factor worth watching: AI competition.
The technology discussion goes beyond chart patterns.

China continues investing aggressively in artificial intelligence, creating another variable for traders following the U.S. technology sector.

For QQQ, that means traders may want to consider both sides of the equation: technical price action and the fundamental forces affecting major technology companies.

Meanwhile, volatility deserves attention.

The VIX recently reached a downside target and is beginning to show signs of changing structure. If volatility begins expanding while the major indexes weaken, that combination can provide another piece of information about the market environment.

The goal isn't to know exactly what happens next.
It’s to understand the evidence the market is providing — and how that evidence changes as price moves.

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report for AJ Monte’s complete chart-by-chart breakdown of DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, VIX, CCI, gap fills, ABCD patterns, options examples, and risk-management techniques.

▶️ WATCH THE FULL VIDEO HERE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-ym3...

What are you watching most closely right now — SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM, or VIX?
Drop it in the comments.

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This content is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Historical trades, price targets, technical patterns, and market scenarios discussed in the video should not be interpreted as individualized investment recommendations.

1 week ago | [YT] | 1

StickyTrades

📊 135 Price Targets Published. 120 Reached.

Every week, AJ Monte publishes price targets on DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY and the VIX based on what he's seeing in the charts.

And we keep track of them.

Over the past 12 months:

🎯 135 price targets published
✅ 120 reached
⏳ 15 remained open at the end of the reporting period

Take a look at the graphic to see the results for each market.

So, what should traders take away from this?

A price target isn't something AJ uses by itself. Support and resistance, volume, moving averages, momentum indicators and price action all help provide context for what the chart is showing.

And market conditions can change.

That's why keeping track of published targets is useful. It gives us a measurable record of what the analysis showed at the time and what happened afterward.

Want to dig into all 12 months of results and learn more about how we track these targets?

Read the complete report here:
stickytrades.com/post/12-month-accuracy-report-aug…

💬 What do you think of the results? Let us know in the comments.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

#StickyTrades #AJMonte #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #SPY #QQQ

1 week ago | [YT] | 11

StickyTrades

One of the most misunderstood concepts in technical analysis is what happens after a gap fills.

Many traders know that price gaps often get filled—but fewer pay attention to what frequently comes next.

📊 A concept we teach is the 80/20 Gap Fill Rule:
• Markets frequently retrace to fill price gaps.
• Once that gap is filled, the area often becomes a decision point where buyers and sellers battle for control.
• Instead of assuming the move will continue, experienced chart readers begin watching for signs that momentum is fading or reversing.

This doesn't mean a reversal will happen every time. It means the chart deserves your full attention once price reaches that level.

That's why understanding support, resistance, candlestick patterns, volume, and momentum indicators together is far more valuable than relying on a single signal.

In this week's market report, AJ Monte walks through how these concepts are currently showing up in DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, and the VIX, and explains why several major ETFs are approaching important technical levels.

📈 Technical analysis isn't about predicting the future—it's about recognizing higher-probability scenarios and managing risk as new information develops.

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report here: 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqI-Y...

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 4

StickyTrades

📉 One chart pattern rarely tells the whole story, but when multiple warning signs begin to align, traders should pay attention.

In this week's market update, AJ discussed several technical signals that suggest the broader market may be entering a more challenging environment. The real lesson isn't about trying to predict the next move. It is about understanding **market probabilities** and managing risk accordingly.

Here are three key takeaways every trader should remember:

1️⃣ Support becomes resistance.
One of the most powerful concepts in technical analysis is role reversal. When price breaks below a key support level and fails to reclaim it, that former support often becomes resistance. This is why traders watch for confirmation instead of assuming every bounce marks a new rally.

2️⃣ Market breadth matters.
The major indexes can sometimes appear healthy while fewer individual stocks participate in the advance. Watching indicators like the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average can provide valuable insight into the underlying strength or weakness of the market.

3️⃣ Risk management is your greatest edge.
No chart pattern works every time. That is why successful traders focus on protecting capital first. Following disciplined position sizing, using defined exits, and avoiding oversized losses can help traders stay in the game long enough to capitalize on future opportunities.

Technical analysis is not about certainty. It is about building a process that helps you make informed decisions regardless of what the market does next.

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report for AJ's complete analysis of DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, the VIX, market breadth, and why these signals deserve attention.

🎁 New to StickyTrades? Visit StickyTrades.com to claim your FREE 15-Day Trial and explore live webinars, technical analysis training, StickyTrades University, and a community dedicated to helping traders grow through education.

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

3 weeks ago (edited) | [YT] | 2

StickyTrades

📉 The market can keep climbing... even while buying interest is fading.
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is focusing only on price.
Price can continue making higher highs while something much more important is happening underneath the surface...
Volume begins to decline.

That's exactly what we're seeing in several major indexes right now.
When a rally is driven by fewer participants, it doesn't automatically mean the market is about to reverse. It does, however, suggest that momentum may not be as strong as the headlines make it appear.

That's why experienced technical traders don't just ask:
❓"Is price going up?"
They also ask:
✅ Who's still buying?
✅ Is participation increasing or decreasing?
✅ Are institutions supporting this move?

Volume is one of the market's most valuable confirmation tools. It doesn't predict the future, but it can provide important context when evaluating the strength—or weakness—of a trend.

In this week's Market Report, I also break down:
📊 Dow Jones (DIA)
📊 SPY
📊 QQQ
📊 IWM
📊 VIX
📊 SpaceX
📊 Micron Technology

Along with the technical levels, chart patterns, and market conditions I'm watching this week.

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report here:
👉 https://youtu.be/iwz6oRML1lk

What are you seeing in the market right now?
Are you noticing strong participation behind this rally, or do you think momentum is beginning to fade? Let me know in the comments.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 2

StickyTrades

📊 One candlestick pattern is interesting. Multiple signals lining up? That's when traders really pay attention.

This week's market action wasn't just about a geopolitical headline—it was about how price responded afterward.

Several technical clues are beginning to line up:
✅ Bearish engulfing candles that have accurately signaled previous pullbacks.
✅ Higher lows and higher highs (pivot candles) suggesting a short-term bounce.
✅ Gaps that often become magnets for future price movement.
✅ Breadth indicators showing more stocks moving above their 50-day moving average—while also approaching levels that have historically become overextended.

No single indicator tells the whole story. Technical analysis is about weighing evidence, understanding probabilities, and recognizing when different pieces of the puzzle begin pointing in the same direction.

In this week's Weekly Market Report, Monte walks through:
• DIA, SPY, QQQ & IWM outlooks
• Why gaps deserve more attention than most traders give them
• What the VIX may be signaling next
• Why silver (SLV) and several mining stocks are setting up interesting technical patterns
• How the Wheel Strategy can be used in sideways markets to generate premium while managing positions

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report for all of the charts, forecasts, and educational breakdowns.

👉 Want to learn these techniques step by step? Start your 15-day free trial at StickyTrades.com.

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

1 month ago | [YT] | 2

StickyTrades

💡 Why do so many experienced traders like the Wheel Strategy?

The answer isn't just about collecting option premiums.

The Wheel Strategy is popular because it creates a defined process for entering and exiting positions instead of relying on emotions.

Here's something many traders overlook:
✅ Selling a cash-secured put means you're getting paid while waiting for a stock to reach a price where you'd be comfortable owning it.
✅ If assigned shares, selling covered calls creates another decision framework by establishing a potential exit price while collecting additional premium.
✅ Even when a stock moves sideways, the strategy may still generate option income because time decay works in favor of the option seller.

However, there's an important consideration…
📌 The Wheel Strategy works best on stocks or ETFs that you wouldn't mind owning for an extended period. If the underlying asset experiences a major decline, premiums alone may not offset the losses.

That's why position sizing and risk management are just as important as the strategy itself.

In this week's Weekly Market Report, we break down:
📉 Market forecasts for SPY, QQQ, IWM, and the VIX
📊 Technical signals pointing to potential downside pressure
🥈 Why silver (SLV) has been a focus and how the Wheel Strategy is being applied
⚙️ How algorithmic trading tools can help automate trading decisions

🎥 Watch the full video here: https://youtu.be/v_Gryhv51S8

What stocks or ETFs do you think are best suited for the Wheel Strategy? Let us know below.

⚠️ Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This content is for educational purposes only.

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

StickyTrades

📊 Market Signals Are Starting to Shift… Are You Paying Attention?

This week's market action delivered an important reminder that price alone doesn't tell the whole story. Some of the biggest clues often come from what's happening beneath the surface.

📉 Volume is slowing as prices rise. Historically, declining volume during a rally can suggest that buying momentum is fading. It doesn't guarantee a reversal, but it's a signal that traders should pay attention to.

📈 Volatility may not be finished. The VIX recently filled a gap, and historically, volatility often changes direction after gap fills. If volatility begins to climb again, it could create additional pressure on the broader market.

🚀 SpaceX joining the NASDAQ-100 could have bigger implications than many realize. Index additions can force large funds to rebalance positions, potentially creating ripple effects throughout the market as capital shifts between holdings.

🛢️ Oil and silver are also worth watching.

Higher oil prices can add inflation concerns back into the conversation and impact market sentiment.
A weakening dollar has historically provided support for precious metals like silver, making the metal an area many traders are monitoring closely.
The Bigger Lesson

Successful traders don't focus on one indicator or one headline. They look for multiple pieces of evidence lining up together:

✅ Price action
✅ Volume trends
✅ Market breadth
✅ Volatility signals
✅ Intermarket relationships

The market is constantly sending clues. The challenge isn't finding information—it's learning how to interpret it.

What signal are you watching most right now?

📈 The major indexes
🚀 SpaceX and the NASDAQ-100
🥈 Silver
🛢️ Oil
⚡ Volatility (VIX)

Drop your thoughts in the comments below.

🎥 Subscribe to the Sticky Trades YouTube channel for weekly market reports, technical analysis, and educational content designed to help traders better understand market behavior.

🌐 Explore our educational programs and mentoring opportunities at StickyTrades.com.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss. This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

1 month ago | [YT] | 2

StickyTrades

📉 Are the Markets Quietly Signaling a Pullback?
Most traders focus on price. Experienced traders pay attention to what price is saying.
In this week's market report, several warning signs appeared across the major indexes:
🔹 Lower highs forming after strong rallies 🔹 Weakening momentum indicators (CCI & Stochastics) 🔹 Declining volume during advances 🔹 Potential topping patterns developing in QQQ and SPY 🔹 The VIX beginning to stabilize after a prolonged decline

One concept that often gets overlooked is confirmation.

A single bearish candle doesn't mean much by itself. But when multiple signals begin lining up—momentum divergence, volume weakness, resistance tests, and volatility starting to firm up—it creates a much different picture.

That's why professional traders focus less on predicting and more on preparing.
Questions worth asking:
✅ If the market pulls back, where are your support levels? ✅ Do you have a plan if volatility increases? ✅ Are you positioned to react emotionally or strategically?

Remember:
⚠️ Past performance is not indicative of future results. ⚠️ Trading involves significant risk of loss.

Watch this week's full market breakdown here:
👉 Learn How to Profit from High Probability Trades with Lower Risk using Option Spreads- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arzap...

What are you watching most closely right now?
📊 SPY 📈 QQQ 📉 IWM 🔥 VIX

Drop your answer below and let's discuss.

#StockMarket #TradingEducation #TechnicalAnalysis #SPY #QQQ #OptionsTrading #MarketOutlook #SwingTrading #StickyTrades

1 month ago | [YT] | 2

StickyTrades

🚨 Is the Market Repeating 1999?

One of the most interesting charts we reviewed this week compares today's S&P 500 price action to the late stages of the 1999 tech boom.

The similarity is striking.

While history never repeats exactly, markets often rhyme. The pattern suggests we could be entering a period where indexes move sideways with increased volatility rather than trending strongly in one direction.

📊 Why does that matter?
Many traders only focus on bullish or bearish markets. But some of the most opportunity-rich environments can be sideways markets where volatility creates recurring setups.

Here are three things worth watching right now:
✅ Volatility (VIX)
The VIX recently showed signs of cooling after a sharp spike. When volatility starts backing off, markets often attempt short-term rallies.
✅ The SpaceX IPO Effect
Major IPOs don't just impact one stock. They can temporarily shift capital flows, sentiment, and institutional positioning across the entire market.
✅ ABCD Patterns

One setup discussed in this week's report is the ABCD pattern. Traders often watch for a series of lower highs and lower lows followed by a reversal point that can signal the next major move.

The key takeaway:
📌 Don't become emotionally attached to a market direction.
Focus on what the charts are actually showing and be prepared for multiple outcomes.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

👇 What do you think?
Will the market continue higher through the summer, or are we setting up for a larger correction later this year?

#StockMarket #SPY #QQQ #TradingEducation #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #OptionsTrading

2 months ago | [YT] | 3