Weather On da Fly

🌤️ Weather On Da Fly: Southeast Louisiana & New Orleans Metro Weekend Outlook

A refreshing fall weekend is lining up across Southeast Louisiana as cooler, drier air settles in behind yesterday’s front. If you’ve been waiting for that crisp, comfortable October feel — it’s here.

🔥 Friday Night:
Clear skies and a noticeable drop in humidity. North winds stay elevated with gusts up to 30 mph. Lows fall into the lower 50s outside the city and upper 50s in the metro.

🌞 Saturday:
A gorgeous fall day. Sunny, breezy, and cooler with highs in the low to mid‑70s. North winds 15–20 mph will keep the air feeling crisp. Fire danger remains elevated due to dry air and gusty winds — use caution with anything that could spark.

🌙 Saturday Night:
Clear and cool. Lows dip into the upper 40s and low 50s north of the lake, mid‑50s in New Orleans.

☀️ Sunday:
Another beautiful day. Sunny, dry, and pleasant with highs in the mid‑70s and lighter winds. A perfect day for outdoor plans, festivals, and fall activities.

✔️ Key Takeaways:
• No rain expected all weekend
• Breezy and cooler Saturday
• Fire danger elevated
• Crisp, comfortable fall weather continues into Sunday

#nola #metairie #kenner #coldfront #weekend #weather #Update

2 hours ago |[YT] | 3

Weather On da Fly

Weather On Da Fly: Afternoon Severe Weather Upgrade 🌩️

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded today’s severe weather outlook, highlighting a more organized threat as storms redevelop this afternoon across portions of the Midwest and Ohio Valley.

A strengthening environment — richer moisture, improving instability, and stronger wind shear — will support scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and even a few tornadoes, especially near warm fronts and surface lows.

🔹 What’s Driving the Upgrade
Moisture Surge: Dewpoints pushing into the upper 60s and low 70s — unusually high for mid‑October.

Instability Increasing: Breaks in cloud cover allowing pockets of heating; SBCAPE rising toward 1000+ J/kg.

Stronger Shear: Deep‑layer winds strengthening, supporting organized storm structures.

Storm Mode: Supercells possible early, transitioning to clusters/bowing segments with damaging winds.

🔹 Main Hazards
Damaging wind gusts

Isolated tornadoes (highest near warm fronts)

Heavy rainfall with localized flooding

🔹 Timing
Expect the strongest storms mid‑afternoon through early evening, with activity gradually weakening overnight.

🔹 Bottom Line
Conditions are becoming more favorable for severe weather than earlier anticipated. Stay weather‑aware this afternoon and evening — especially if you’re in the upgraded risk zones.

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#ILwx #INwx #OHwx #mowx #tornado #weather #Update #usa

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8 hours ago |[YT] | 10

Weather On da Fly

🌙 Weather On Da Fly: Late‑Night Tropical Update
It’s a busy night in the Eastern Pacific, with Tropical Storm Simon weakening offshore while Tropical Storm Trudy continues to intensify south of Mexico. Here’s what’s happening as we head deeper into the overnight hours:

🌀 Tropical Storm Simon
Simon is slowly drifting southwest, now holding 65 mph winds as it weakens over cooler waters. While the storm is losing organization, dangerous surf and rip currents will continue impacting portions of Baja California Sur through the end of the week.
Rainfall totals of 1–2 inches (isolated 3") may cause minor flooding in vulnerable areas.

🌧 Tropical Storm Trudy
Trudy is the system to watch tonight. With 70 mph winds and a well‑defined core, the storm is showing signs of rapid intensification. Forecast guidance continues to trend stronger, with Trudy expected to become a major hurricane by Friday.
Heavy rainfall of 4–8 inches (locally 12") is likely across Colima, Jalisco, Guerrero, and Michoacán, raising concerns for flash flooding and mudslides.
Dangerous surf will spread northward along the Mexican coastline heading into the weekend.

📌 Late‑Night Takeaway
Simon: Weakening but still producing hazardous surf for Baja.

Trudy: Strengthening quickly — a major hurricane threat for southwestern Mexico in the coming days.

Stay tuned for more updates as these systems evolve overnight.

#Simon #Trudy #mexico #BajaCalifornia #hurricane #weather

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22 hours ago |[YT] | 30

Weather On da Fly

🌙Weather On Da Fly: Late‑Night Flash Flood Threat Intensifying Across OK & TX

It’s a busy night across the Southern Plains as a powerful cluster of storms continues to train over the same areas in central Oklahoma and western Texas. A developing LEWP structure within a larger mesoscale convective system is producing torrential rainfall, with rates over 2 inches per hour in the strongest cores.

A strengthening low‑level jet is feeding deep tropical moisture into the region — some of it originating from the western Gulf and mid‑level remnants tied to Hurricane Simon. With PW values rising above 2.0" and instability increasing overnight, storms will continue to redevelop and repeatedly move over saturated ground.

Many locations west of Oklahoma City have already picked up 4–10 inches in the past 24 hours. Additional rainfall of 2–4 inches is likely through early morning, making flash flooding a serious and potentially dangerous concern.

If you’re in the affected areas, stay alert overnight. Never drive through flooded roads — water rises fast, especially with training storms like these.

Stay safe and stay weather aware.


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#txwx #okwx #flood #Warning #oklahomacity #Norman #SPC #weather

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22 hours ago |[YT] | 11

Weather On da Fly

🌬️Weather On Da Fly: Major Cold Front Set to Sweep Southeast Louisiana Friday Night

A strong fall cold front is on the move, and Southeast Louisiana — including the New Orleans metro — is about to feel its biggest weather shift in months. After days of unseasonably warm temps in the upper 80s to low 90s, the pattern flips sharply as cooler, drier air surges in behind Friday night’s frontal passage.

🔥 What’s Happening Now (Wed–Fri Afternoon)

Warm & Dry: Highs remain in the upper 80s to low 90s through Friday with very little rain.

Fog Risk: Patchy to locally dense fog possible again Thursday morning, especially near sunrise.

Dry Air Mixing: Afternoon humidity drops into the 30% range as drier air mixes down — a sign of the front approaching.

🌬️ Cold Front Timing
Front Arrival: Late Friday into Friday night across Southeast Louisiana.

Wind Shift: Strong northerly winds quickly develop behind the front, ushering in fall air and rough marine conditions. Gale‑force gusts possible offshore.

🌡️ Temperature Drop & Air Mass Change
Highs: Falling from upper 80s/low 90s → low to mid 70s Saturday.
Lows: Dropping from mid 60s → mid 50s north of the lake, lower 60s south of the lake.

Humidity: Much drier air arrives, delivering the first true fall feel of the season.

🔥 Fire Weather Concerns (Saturday)
Elevated Risk: Gusty northeasterly winds + very low humidity (upper 20s to low 30s) may increase fire danger. Avoid outdoor burning.

🌊 Marine Impacts
Hazardous Conditions: Strong northerly winds behind the front may produce gale conditions and dangerous waves. Mariners should prepare for rapidly worsening conditions Friday night into Saturday.

📍 New Orleans Metro Takeaway
Thu–Fri: Warm, mostly dry, fog possible early mornings.
Fri Night: Cold front blasts through — winds pick up, temps fall, humidity drops.
Sat–Sun: Clear skies, crisp fall air, breezy northerly winds, fire danger elevated, marine hazards ongoing.

#nola #lawx #txwx #MsWX #alwx #flwx #coldfront #weather

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1 day ago |[YT] | 20

Weather On da Fly

🌩️ Weather On Da Fly: Severe Thunderstorm Watch #685 — Storms Firing This Evening

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #685 is now in effect through 11 PM CDT for large portions of west/northwest Texas and southwest Oklahoma as a volatile atmosphere sets the stage for dangerous storms.

Powerful updrafts are already developing along the boundary, and conditions are primed for damaging winds up to 75 mph, large hail up to 2 inches, and even a tornado or two. Storm tops may push 55,000 feet, signaling intense storm structure and severe turbulence for aviation interests.

If you’re in the watch area, stay alert and be ready to take action quickly. Watches can escalate into warnings as storms intensify. I’ll continue tracking trends and will update as new warnings or developments occur.

Stay safe and stay weather-aware.

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#TXWX #okwx #weather #Update #tornado #usa

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1 day ago |[YT] | 11

Weather On da Fly

🌪 Weather On Da Fly: Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook — October 14, 2026

A dynamic setup is unfolding across the Southern Plains today as the SPC highlights a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms from Texas into Oklahoma. A strengthening trough and advancing cold front will help spark storms capable of damaging winds, large hail, and even a tornado or two.

Farther east, a Marginal Risk stretches from the Ozarks into the central Appalachians, where pockets of instability may support isolated strong wind gusts.

For Louisiana and the Gulf Coast, today’s severe threat stays north and west — but we’re keeping a close eye on upstream energy that could influence future setups. Stay weather aware, stay prepared, and stay fly.

Weather On Da Fly — keeping you ahead of the storm.

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#TXWX #okwx #nola #gulfcoast #weather #tornado

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1 day ago |[YT] | 6

Weather On da Fly

🌀Weather On Da Fly: Two Pacific systems are on the move today — Hurricane Simon and Tropical Storm Trudy — and both deserve close attention as we head deeper into the week.

🔴 Hurricane Simon (Advisory #26)
Simon remains a small but solid Category 1 hurricane drifting just off the west-central Mexico coastline. The core is compact, with hurricane-force winds only stretching about 10 miles from the center, but it’s still producing dangerous surf and rip currents along the Mexican coast. A Hurricane Watch continues for Las Islas Marías, while mainland watches have been dropped.
Simon may strengthen a bit, but the bigger story is its slow movement — keeping rough seas and pockets of heavy rain lingering through Friday.

🟡 Tropical Storm Trudy (Advisory #2)
Trudy is the system to watch. Currently well south of Mexico, Trudy is expected to rapidly intensify over the next 48–72 hours. Forecast guidance shows Trudy becoming a hurricane by Wednesday night and reaching major hurricane strength by Friday.
No coastal alerts yet, but interests along southwestern and west‑central Mexico should monitor closely. Swells and dangerous surf will begin arriving later this week.

⚠️ Key Takeaway:
Simon is steady — Trudy is the potential powerhouse. If you have travel, cruise, or coastal plans in Mexico later this week, stay weather-aware.

#Simon #Trudy #mexico #bajacalifornia #hurricane #weather

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2 days ago |[YT] | 30

Weather On da Fly

⛈️Weather On Da Fly: Severe Thunderstorm Watch #683 Issued

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is now in effect until 12:00 AM CDT for large portions of northwest Texas and western/central Oklahoma as an increasingly volatile atmosphere sets the stage for dangerous storms this evening.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop along a sharpening dryline and advancing upper‑level energy. These storms may rapidly intensify, producing large hail up to 2 inches, damaging winds over 70 mph, and even a few isolated tornadoes, especially near boundaries in western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle.

If you live in any of the affected counties — including areas near Lubbock, Childress, Woodward, Elk City, Altus, Weatherford, and surrounding communities — stay weather‑aware. Storms may form quickly and move fast.

📌 What You Should Do Now:
• Have multiple ways to receive warnings
• Keep phones charged and volume on
• Secure outdoor items
• Be ready to take shelter if warnings are issued

Stay tuned for updates as storms begin to fire. I’ll keep you covered every step of the way.

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#txwx #okwx #tornado #DamagingWinds #hailstorm #weather #WeatherUpdate

2 days ago |[YT] | 5

Weather On da Fly

⚡Weather On Da Fly: Severe Thunderstorm Watch #682 has been issued for eastern Kansas and northwest Missouri until 11 PM CDT. Storms are already beginning to fire along a sharpening frontal zone, and conditions are primed for rapid intensification through the evening.

Strong instability, a moist boundary layer, and strengthening mid‑level winds will support supercells and organized clusters capable of large hail (up to 2.5"), damaging winds 60–80 mph, and a few tornadoes. The tornado threat remains isolated but cannot be ignored, especially with any discrete storms that form ahead of the main line.

📍 Areas Included:
Kansas City • Topeka • Lawrence • Manhattan • Salina • Wichita • St. Joseph • Overland Park • Olathe • Shawnee • Leavenworth • And surrounding counties across eastern KS & northwest MO.

🌩️ What to Expect:
– Storms will intensify late afternoon into early evening.
– Supercells may produce large hail before transitioning into clusters.
– Wind damage becomes more likely as storms congeal.
– Threat gradually decreases after sunset but remains elevated until the watch expires.

🚨 Stay Weather‑Aware:
Have multiple ways to receive warnings, especially if you’re out this evening. Charge devices, enable alerts, and keep an eye on radar trends. Spotters should be ready for rapid storm development.

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#kswx #mowx #hail #tornado #DamagingWinds #weather #WeatherUpdate

2 days ago |[YT] | 21