Weather On da Fly

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Your (Weather On da Fly) Team Members:
Chief Meteorologist: Roger (Jan. 2023 until present)
Meteorologist: Jenny (Apr. 2024 until present)
Meteorologist: Steffan (Jan. 2026 until present)


Weather On da Fly

🌀 Weather On Da Fly: Hurricane Polo — Advisory #7 (Rapid Intensification Continues)
Hurricane Polo has undergone one of the fastest intensification bursts of the 2026 season. Polo first became a tropical storm less than 48 hours ago, and since then it has rocketed from a 40 mph tropical storm to a 150 mph Category 4 hurricane, now on the doorstep of Category 5 strength. This kind of explosive strengthening is extremely rare and highlights just how favorable the environment is around Polo.

As of Advisory #7 early this morning, Polo continues to intensify south of the Mexico coastline, moving slowly and producing dangerous marine conditions and increasing rainfall threats.

📍 Location: 14.6°N, 101.8°W
➡️ Movement: East‑southeast at 6 mph
🌬️ Max Winds: 150 mph (Category 4, Cat 5 expected soon)
📉 Pressure: 935 mb
⚠️ Tropical Storm Watch: Tecpan de Galeana → Manzanillo

⛈️ Key Hazards & Forecast
• Rapid Intensification: Polo has strengthened by over 110 mph in under two days, an extremely dangerous trend that is expected to continue.
• Track: Polo will remain offshore but close to the southwestern Mexico coastline through midweek.
• Rainfall: 4–8 inches, isolated 12 inches possible across Guerrero and Michoacán.
• Flooding & Mudslides: Heavy rainfall over mountainous terrain may lead to life‑threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
• Coastal Impacts: Large swells, dangerous surf, and rip currents spreading along the coast.
• Wind Threat: Tropical storm conditions possible in the watch area by early Wednesday.

Even if Polo stays offshore, its extreme intensity and slow movement mean prolonged hazards for southwestern Mexico. Communities should stay alert and monitor updates closely.

#WeatherOnDaFly #HurricanePolo #Polo #TropicalUpdate #RapidIntensification #Category5Potential #MexicoWeather #StormTracking #NHC #SevereWeather #TropicalCyclone #Wx

6 hours ago | [YT] | 17

Weather On da Fly

🌀 Weather On Da Fly: Hurricane Polo Rapidly Intensifies — Now a Major Category 4

Hurricane Polo has exploded in strength tonight, now packing 130 mph winds as a powerful Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific. The storm continues to rapidly intensify and could reach Category 5 strength later today or Wednesday as it moves slowly near the southwestern Mexico coastline.

Polo is currently located 330 miles SSE of Manzanillo and 210 miles south of Zihuatanejo, drifting east‑southeast at just 5 mph. While the core is expected to remain offshore, its close proximity to land means heavy rainfall, dangerous surf, and tropical‑storm‑force winds may impact portions of Guerrero and Michoacán through midweek.

Key Hazards to Watch:
• Rainfall: 4–8 inches with isolated 12" totals — flash flooding & mudslides possible
• Wind: Tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area
• Surf: Large swells and hazardous rip currents along the coast
• Intensity: Continued strengthening expected — potentially catastrophic if it reaches Cat 5

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo. Residents along the southwestern Mexico coast should stay alert and monitor updates closely as Polo intensifies.

Stay tuned — I’ll keep you updated as new advisories come in.

#WeatherOnDaFly #HurricanePolo #Polo #EasternPacific #TropicalWeather #MexicoWeather #HurricaneSeason2026 #StormUpdate #FloodingRisk #RapidIntensification #StaySafe

9 hours ago | [YT] | 5

Weather On da Fly

🌀 Weather On Da Fly: Hurricane Polo Continues Rapidly Intensifying — Cat 5 Expected Tuesday
Hurricane Polo continues explosive rapid intensification tonight. The National Hurricane Center now expects Polo to reach Category 5 strength on Tuesday, making this a dangerous and potentially catastrophic storm in the Eastern Pacific.

As of Advisory #6, Polo has strengthened to 110 mph, with a tightening core and improving structure on satellite. The storm is located south of the Mexican coastline, moving slowly, which will allow even more intensification over very warm waters and favorable atmospheric conditions.

Key Points:
• Winds: 110 mph and strengthening
• Movement: East-southeast at 5 mph
• Pressure: 964 mb
• Forecast: Category 5 expected Tuesday
• Hazards: Heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides, and increasing surf along the southwestern Mexico coastline
• Watch: Tropical Storm Watch from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo

Communities along the coast should monitor updates closely as Polo intensifies. Weather On Da Fly will continue tracking every advisory with accurate placement, clean visuals, and real-time analysis.

youtube.com/shorts/EYFavtdOBcQ

#WeatherOnDaFly #HurricanePolo #Polo #TropicalUpdate #NHC #Category5 #StormTracking #MexicoWeather #TropicalCyclone #RapidIntensification #SevereWeather #WeatherAlert

11 hours ago | [YT] | 6

Weather On da Fly

⛈️ Weather On Da Fly: 7 PM Radar Update for Southeast Louisiana & The New Orleans Metro

Scattered thunderstorms continue to fire across Southeast Louisiana this evening, and the New Orleans metro is right in the middle of the action. As of 7 PM CDT (9/21/26), radar shows slow‑moving storms producing heavy rain, lightning, and pockets of gusty winds from Metairie to Chalmette and down toward Belle Chasse.

These storms are tapping into deep Gulf moisture, which means quick bursts of heavy rainfall are possible—enough to cause street flooding in the usual low‑lying spots. If you're out and about, expect reduced visibility, slick roads, and occasional lightning strikes nearby.

Areas seeing the most activity right now include:
• New Orleans East
• Gentilly & Lakeview
• Mid‑City & Uptown
• Metairie & Kenner
• Chalmette
• Gretna, Marrero & the Westbank

Storms will remain hit‑or‑miss through the evening, so keep an eye on the sky and stay weather‑aware.

Stay safe, Southeast Louisiana!

#WeatherOnDaFly #NOLAWeather #LouisianaWeather #StormUpdate #NewOrleans #Metairie #Kenner #Westbank #Chalmette #GulfCoastWeather #RadarUpdate #EveningStorms #StayWeatherAware

15 hours ago | [YT] | 24

Weather On da Fly

🌀 Weather On Da Fly — Advisory #4A (12 PM CST): Hurricane Polo is intensifying quickly, now at 80 mph and expected to become a major hurricane by Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect from Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo. Heavy rain, flooding, and dangerous coastal conditions are possible as Polo strengthens.

#Polo #Advisory4A #HurricanePolo #TropicalUpdate #WeatherOnDaFly #MexicoWeather #HurricaneSeason2026 #StormAlert

20 hours ago | [YT] | 16

Weather On da Fly

⛈️ Weather On Da Fly: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook — Monday, September 21, 2026
A Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms is in place today across parts of the Southeast and the Appalachians, stretching from northern Mississippi through western Virginia. While this isn’t a widespread severe weather day, the environment is primed for isolated damaging wind gusts as storms develop along a southward‑moving cold front.

Moisture is high, instability is building, and afternoon heating will help storms intensify. Expect scattered thunderstorms to fire through the afternoon and early evening, with the strongest cells capable of producing brief but impactful wind damage.

If you’re in the affected areas, stay weather aware — even isolated storms can pack a punch.

Stay tuned for updates from Weather On Da Fly.

youtube.com/shorts/7ToXY6EBbRQ

#WeatherOnDaFly #SPC #SevereWeather #MarginalRisk #WeatherUpdate #StormAlert #Thunderstorms #AppalachiansWeather #SoutheastWeather #ColdFront

1 day ago | [YT] | 8

Weather On da Fly

🌩️ Weather On Da Fly: Severe Thunderstorm Watch #673 Issued for Eastern Colorado & Far Western Kansas
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #673 has been issued for eastern Colorado and far western Kansas, where the environment is primed for large hail, damaging winds, and a few supercells through the evening hours.

Storms developing along the boundary are tapping into strong instability and increasing wind shear, creating a setup favorable for hail up to 2.5 inches, intense downbursts, and isolated rotating storms.

If you’re in Cheyenne, Kit Carson, Greeley, Logan, Wallace, or Wichita counties, stay alert and have multiple ways to receive warnings. Conditions can change quickly as storms intensify and move east.

I’ll continue tracking this setup closely — stay tuned for updates as storms fire and evolve across the region. Stay safe and stay weather aware.

youtube.com/shorts/5wKFz5AqY1g

#WeatherOnDaFly #SevereThunderstormWatch #Watch673 #ColoradoWeather #KansasWeather #SevereWeather #StormAlert #HailStorm #Supercell #WeatherUpdate #SPC #StormTracking #WeatherNews #StaySafe

1 day ago | [YT] | 12

Weather On da Fly

Weather On Da Fly: Late Afternoon Tropical Update 🌧🌀
The tropics remain active this afternoon with now three systems worth watching across the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. Here’s what’s happening right now:

🌀 Tropical Storm Fay – Advisory #6
Fay continues churning southwest of the Azores with 65 mph winds, moving north‑northeast at a slow 6 mph. The storm is still strengthening and may briefly reach hurricane status tonight before weakening on Monday. No coastal watches or warnings are in effect, but interests in the Azores should keep an eye on future updates.

🌊 Tropical Storm Odalys – Advisory #3
Odalys is gaining organization far out in the eastern Pacific, now packing 50 mph winds while moving west‑northwest at 10 mph. Forecast guidance shows steady strengthening, with Odalys expected to become a hurricane by Monday. Tropical‑storm‑force winds extend 70 miles from the center, signaling a growing circulation.

🌧 Tropical Depression Seventeen‑E – Advisory #1
A newly formed system south of Mexico, TD Seventeen‑E is already showing signs of intensification with 35 mph winds and a north‑northeast motion toward the coast. Heavy rainfall of 4–8 inches (locally up to 12") is expected across Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco — posing a threat for flash flooding and mudslides. Strengthening into a tropical storm is likely Monday, with a hurricane possible by Tuesday.

Stay tuned — the tropics remain active, and we’ll keep you updated with every advisory.

#WeatherOnDaFly #TropicalUpdate #TropicalStormFay #TropicalStormOdalys #TD17E #HurricaneSeason2026 #WeatherAlert #PacificTropics #AtlanticTropics #NHC #StayWeatherAware

1 day ago | [YT] | 8

Weather On da Fly

🌀 Weather On Da Fly: Tropical Storm Fay & Odalys Update
Two tropical systems continue to churn across the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific today, each with their own story to tell. Here’s the latest breakdown from Advisory #5 on Tropical Storm Fay and Advisory #2 on Tropical Storm Odalys.

🌀 Tropical Storm Fay – Advisory #5
Fay has strengthened this afternoon, now packing 60 mph winds as it drifts northeast at 3 mph over the open Atlantic. The storm sits roughly 430 miles southwest of the Azores, maintaining a tight core with tropical-storm-force winds extending about 45 miles from the center.
Fay may flirt with hurricane intensity tonight, but a turn toward the southwest and gradual weakening is expected Monday. No coastal watches or warnings are in effect.

🌀 Tropical Storm Odalys – Advisory #2
Farther west in the Pacific, Odalys continues its steady organization. Winds have increased to 45 mph as the storm moves west-northwest at 9 mph, positioned about 1,310 miles southwest of Baja California.
Forecast guidance shows Odalys strengthening into a hurricane by Monday, followed by a gradual turn north and northeast as the week progresses. No coastal watches or warnings are currently posted.

📌 Bottom Line
Both storms remain over open waters, but Fay is nearing peak intensity while Odalys is just getting started. We’ll keep tracking every shift, every wobble, and every burst of convection as these systems evolve.

Stay tuned — more updates coming soon from Weather On Da Fly.

#WeatherOnDaFly #TropicalStormFay #TropicalStormOdalys #Fay #Odalys #TropicsWatch #HurricaneSeason2026 #StormTracking #Azores #EasternPacific #AtlanticTropics #WeatherUpdate #Meteorology #StormAlert #NHC #PacificStorms #AtlanticStorms

1 day ago | [YT] | 44

Weather On da Fly

🌩️ Weather On Da Fly — September 20, 2026: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook
A fresh SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook is out this morning, highlighting a developing severe weather setup across portions of the Plains. Storms are expected to intensify through the afternoon and evening as a strengthening disturbance moves across the region.

Areas from central and eastern Oklahoma into eastern Colorado and western Kansas are under the greatest threat, where strong instability and favorable wind shear may support supercells capable of large hail and damaging winds.

As storms grow upscale later in the day, the risk for organized clusters and line segments increases, boosting the potential for widespread wind damage. Secondary areas stretching into the Ozarks and Ohio Valley may also see isolated severe storms.

Stay tuned to Weather On Da Fly for continuous updates as this evolving setup unfolds. Stay alert, stay prepared, and stay weather‑aware.

youtube.com/shorts/J4Uu21aenrs

#WeatherOnDaFly #SPC #Day1Outlook #SevereWeather #StormForecast #OklahomaWeather #ColoradoWeather #KansasWeather #Hail #DamagingWinds #WeatherUpdate #StormReady #PlainsWeather #Meteorology

2 days ago | [YT] | 9