Macro To Micro

📉 Market Cooldown After AI Euphoria | October 9, 2025

After weeks of relentless AI-driven gains, U.S. markets finally took a breather today.
Major indexes slipped slightly as traders digested a mix of profit-taking, macro caution, and geopolitical headlines.

🧠 1. Big Picture: What’s Moving the Market

Jamie Dimon (JPMorgan CEO) warned there’s a “meaningful chance” of a major market correction — sparking risk-off sentiment and trimming speculative positions.

China tightened rare-earth export controls, a key input for high-tech and defense manufacturing — raising geopolitical and supply-chain risks.

The AI trade remains dominant, but stretched valuations prompted some rotation into energy, miners, and defensive plays.

Treasury yields held steady near 4.13%, while gold ticked higher as investors sought safety.

💹 2. Sector Highlights & Movers
🧠 Tech & AI

Nvidia (NVDA) +1.7% premarket → Riding strong AI momentum; CEO Jensen Huang said AI demand is “up substantially.”

AMD (AMD) +1.1% → Extended its huge rally after the OpenAI partnership to power 6 GW of AI infrastructure.

Dell (DELL) pulled back slightly (-0.6%) after a 17% run in 3 days — traders locking in profits.

TSMC September sales surged +31.4% YoY, confirming record AI chip demand.

✈️ Earnings Kickoff

Delta Air Lines (DAL) soared +5.7% — beat EPS estimates ($1.71 vs $1.65) and raised full-year guidance. Strong summer travel and premium demand fueled optimism for Q4.

PepsiCo (PEP) +1.4% — topped both revenue ($23.9B) and EPS ($2.29) estimates, and announced a new CFO from Walmart, signaling corporate stability.

🛒 Retail & Consumer

Costco (COST) +1.3% — 8% sales growth, 26% e-commerce surge. Consumers still spending despite high prices.

⚙️ Industrial & Materials

MP Materials (MP) +4.8% — rallied on rare-earth tightening by China.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) +3.4% — boosted by rising copper prices and analyst upgrades.

AZZ Inc (AZZ) -6% — missed earnings; market punished weak results.

💰 Finance & Crypto

Jefferies (JEF) +4.9% — rebounded after clarifying exposure to bankrupt First Brands.

Coinbase (COIN) -1.5% — slid as Bitcoin retreated 3% from Monday’s record near $126K.

🌍 3. Macro & Market Context

Middle East peace headlines helped ease geopolitical risk, supporting airline and energy stocks.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures stayed slightly positive, showing resilience despite global jitters.

Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of Friday’s U.S. jobs data and Fed commentary, which could set the tone for rate-cut timing.

💬 4. Takeaway: Healthy Pause, Not Panic

Markets remain constructively bullish, but the tone today was defensive:

AI & chip stocks still lead, but extended gains invite short-term cooling.

Airlines and consumer sectors show strong fundamentals.

Commodity strength and easing geopolitical risks create a balanced backdrop.

Investors are taking a “wait and see” stance before the next data wave.

📈 #StockMarket #AIStocks #Nvidia #AMD #JamieDimon #TSMC #DeltaAirLines #PepsiCo #China #RareEarth #Investing #MarketUpdate #Economy #Crypto #WallStreet

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📰 Market Recap – Oct 8, 2025 | What’s Moving Markets Today

Stocks are slightly lower today after a strong run last week. The pullback comes as traders stay cautious ahead of the Fed meeting minutes later today, which could hint at how aggressive the central bank will be with future rate cuts.

Meanwhile, the government shutdown has stretched into its second week — delaying key economic data and adding uncertainty to the market.

1️⃣ Stock Futures Rebound Slightly
• U.S. futures are modestly higher after the S&P 500’s 7-day winning streak ended yesterday.
• S&P 500 +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.2%, Dow +0.3%.
• 10-year yield eased to 4.10%, offering mild relief.
🔍 Takeaway: Traders are cautiously buying the dip while watching rate-cut expectations.

2️⃣ Gold Hits Another Record High 🏆
• Gold broke above $4,050/oz — new all-time high.
• Fueled by the “debasement trade” — fears over U.S. debt, Fed policy, and weak USD.
• Bitcoin also topped $125K before pulling back.
🔍 Takeaway: Safe-haven rush — investors are hedging against long-term currency and fiscal risks.

3️⃣ Fed Minutes in Focus ⏰
• September FOMC minutes drop at 2 p.m. ET.
• Fed cut rates for the first time in 2025; Governor Miran pushed for deeper cuts.
• Despite shutdown, Fed stays operational.
🔍 Takeaway: A dovish tone could fuel another leg higher — eyes on clues for future easing.

4️⃣ Tesla (TSLA) Rebounds Slightly 🚗
• TSLA +0.5% premarket after falling 4% on new low-cost Model 3 & Y launches (~$35K–$38K).
• Investors wanted a new model, not just price cuts.
🔍 Takeaway: Margins under pressure, sentiment mixed — still a watch for mass-market traction.

5️⃣ Confluent (CFLT) Soars 🚀
• +20% premarket on reports it’s exploring a sale amid strong AI interest.
• Private equity & tech giants reportedly circling.
🔍 Takeaway: AI data infrastructure M&A theme is heating up — buyers chasing scalable AI plays.

💡 Key Takeaways

✅ Markets holding up despite shutdown — mild optimism.
✅ Gold & BTC strength = macro unease.
✅ Fed minutes could shift tone toward deeper cuts if economy softens.
✅ Tesla’s pricing push may hit margins short-term.
✅ AI & data infrastructure names (like $CFLT) remain hot M&A targets.

⚡️ Notable Pre-Market Movers
Ticker Move Catalyst Implication
CFLT 🔺 +17.9% Sale rumors / AI interest M&A premium chase
ASTS 🔺 +9.6% Space sector momentum Momentum / call flow
JOBY 🔻 -10.4% Discounted offering Dilution pressure
ACHR 🔻 -5.0% Peer weakness Sector risk-off
RKLB 🔺 +4.0% Space momentum Speculative bid
QS 🔺 +4.0% Battery tech interest EV speculation

📊 Overall:
Markets are catching breath after a long rally. Safe-haven demand (Gold/BTC) is screaming macro worry, but dip buyers are still active.
Next 24–48 hrs = all about Fed tone + shutdown headlines.

4 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📉 Market Update — Oct 7, 2025 | Why Stocks Pulled Back Today

Short answer — markets cooled after an fuelled rally due to technical selling, quant de-leveraging, political noise in Europe/Asia, and rising Treasury yields. Here’s the full breakdown 👇

💥 Top Pre-Market Movers (Company Catalysts & Impact)
🔺 AMD — +24.5%
📰 Catalyst: Continued AI momentum — new chip deal with OpenAI & analyst upgrades
🔍 Impact: Big gap-up; watch if buyers hold through the open or if profit-taking sets in.

🔺 Micron (MU) — +3.5%
📰 Catalyst: Riding semiconductor sector strength & AI memory demand optimism
🔍 Impact: Moderate gain; could sustain upside if chip sentiment holds.

🔺 Arista Networks (ANET) — +2.7%
📰 Catalyst: No specific headline — benefiting from AI/network infrastructure momentum
🔍 Impact: Watch for confirmation in upcoming earnings or new AI-related deals.

🔺 Amkor Technology (AMKR) — +10.9%
📰 Catalyst: Highlighted in media as a standout semiconductor packaging winner
🔍 Impact: Strong pop; chip-supply-chain exposure gives potential upside, but reversal risk is high.

🔺 James Hardie Industries (JHX) — +9.7%
📰 Catalyst: Boosted by construction/materials optimism
🔍 Impact: May continue higher if cyclical trade momentum sustains.

🔻 Dollar Tree (DLTR) — –3.8%
📰 Catalyst: Weak retail outlook and guidance concerns
🔍 Impact: Key test for consumer sentiment; watch same-store sales commentary.

🔻 Restaurant Brands Intl (QSR) — –3.0%
📰 Catalyst: Cost pressures and softening consumer demand
🔍 Impact: Could pressure the broader restaurant/discretionary sector if weakness spreads.

🚀 Trilogy Metals (TMQ) — Tripled

📰 Catalyst: U.S. Government to buy a 10% stake (~$35.6M)
🔍 Impact: Massive upside; highly volatile — expect profit-taking and sharp intraday swings.


⚙️ Why Markets Dropped Today (Key Drivers)

1️⃣ Quant / Systematic De-Leveraging — Hedge funds cutting crowded positions triggered mechanical selling. (Reuters)
2️⃣ Political Noise in Europe & Japan — France’s surprise resignation + Japan fiscal headlines unsettled FX & risk.
3️⃣ Higher Treasury Yields — 10-yr yield near 4.15–4.18 %, prompting equity outflows & portfolio rebalancing. (Trading Economics)
4️⃣ Mixed / Delayed Data — Private payrolls fell (-32 K); gov’t shutdown delayed key reports → added volatility. (ADP Report)
5️⃣ Profit-Taking after AI Rally — S&P and Nasdaq hit records yesterday; rotational sell-off normal after big runs. (Reuters)

⏰ What to Watch Next

🗣️ Fed Speakers — Any hint of policy tilt will move yields & risk assets.

💵 Treasury Auctions — 10-yr trajectory around 4.15 – 4.18 %.

🏛️ Gov’t Shutdown Resolution — Timing of official jobs data matters for rate expectations.

🤖 Earnings / AI Headlines — Fresh AI deals could reverse today’s risk off mood.


🎥 #StockMarket #Investing #AIMarket #FinanceNews #AMD #TMQ #Micron #NASDAQ #MarketUpdate

4 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📊 Market Update – October 6, 2025 | Massive AI & M&A Moves Shake Markets

Wall Street futures are climbing this morning, even as the U.S. government shutdown drags on.
Traders? Totally unfazed. The spotlight today is all about big AI partnerships, banking mega-mergers, and crypto-fuelled momentum.


💥 1️⃣ AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) — +25% premarket

🔥 Biggest mover of the day!
OpenAI just announced it will take a 10% stake in AMD and commit to buying 6 gigawatts worth of AI chips, starting with the MI450 model next year.
This deal could reshape the AI hardware landscape, positioning AMD as a direct challenger to NVIDIA’s dominance.
🧠 Impact: Massive institutional demand shift toward AMD. Expect analysts to start hiking price targets this week.

🏦 2️⃣ Comerica (CMA) — +11%

💰 M&A alert!
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) announced a $10.9 billion deal to acquire Comerica, creating the 9th largest U.S. bank with about $288B in assets.
CMA jumps on merger premium, while Fifth Third dips around -3.2%.
🏁 Impact: Shows regional banks consolidating to survive rising rate pressures and tough competition.

🚗 3️⃣ Tesla (TSLA) — +1.9%

⚡ Tesla’s back in green after better-than-expected Q3 deliveries.
Despite a rough week (-2.4%), the stock is rebounding ahead of a rumored Oct 7 event, where many expect a new affordable EV unveiling.
🚀 Impact: Traders rotating back in ahead of potential product news.

🧩 4️⃣ Palantir (PLTR) — +3%

📰 Recovering from Friday’s drop (-7.5%) after reports of security flaws in its Army communications prototype.
Palantir responded, saying the “security review process worked as intended.”
🔐 Impact: Relief rally — investors betting on Palantir’s continued role in U.S. defense AI projects despite the hiccup.

🤖 5️⃣ UiPath (PATH) — +10%

💡 Surging again after announcing major AI partnerships with OpenAI and Nvidia last week.
The automation company is gaining strong retail and institutional attention.
📈 Impact: AI + automation theme heating up. UiPath emerging as a key mid-cap AI play.

₿ 6️⃣ Coinbase (COIN) — +2.4%

🔥 Crypto’s on fire again!
Bitcoin hit new highs over the weekend, giving COIN another leg up — it’s already +53% year-to-date.
💎 Impact: Momentum traders returning to crypto stocks as Bitcoin dominance climbs.

🚙 7️⃣ Ford (F) +0.6% / General Motors (GM) +0.5%

📰 Reports say President Trump is weighing tariff relief for automakers that produce in the U.S.
🇺🇸 Impact: Boosts sentiment for Detroit automakers — seen as a potential tailwind for the industry.

⚛️ 8️⃣ Quantum Stocks – Rigetti (RGTI) & D-Wave (QBTS)

Rigetti: -1.8% after a +35% run last week from orders for its Novera quantum systems.

D-Wave: +1% premarket after Friday’s record close.
🧬 Impact: Profit-taking but strong long-term narrative in quantum computing continues.

💾 9️⃣ Western Digital (WDC) — +1.1%

📀 Best S&P 500 performer last week (+23%) on strong data center HDD demand.
AI infrastructure is driving storage needs through the roof.

🍷 🔟 Constellation Brands (STZ) — +0.5%

🕒 Earnings due after the bell.
Analysts expect EPS $3.38 on $2.46B revenue (down 16% YoY).
Stock is down 36% YTD, so any positive surprise could spark a rebound.

💡 Other Mentions

Valero Energy (VLO) — Worst S&P 500 performer last week (-8.7%) as refining margins slipped.

Upcoming Earnings This Week:
✈️ Delta Air Lines | 🥤 PepsiCo | 🌶️ McCormick | 👖 Levi Strauss | 💻 Applied Digital | 🧬 Neogen

🧠 Takeaways

✅ AI = Main Story: AMD, UiPath, and Palantir are driving tech sentiment higher.
✅ Banking M&A returns: Fifth Third + Comerica sparks consolidation talk in financials.
✅ Crypto revival: Bitcoin and Coinbase strength lifting the digital asset space.
✅ Quantum hype building: Rigetti and D-Wave continue to catch speculative money.
✅ Shutdown ignored: Despite Washington gridlock, markets are focused on growth catalysts — not politics.

🎬 Final Thought:
AI, M&A, and crypto are fueling today’s rally — and it’s only Monday.
If this momentum continues, we could be in for a strong October kickoff across tech and financials.

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

Walmart’s OnePay Enters Crypto - OnePay plans to let users buy, sell, and hold Bitcoin and Ethereum later in 2025, through a partnership with Zerohash.

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📊 Market Update – October 3, 2025

🚀 S&P 500 hits fresh all-time high at 6,745 — even with the U.S. government shutdown still unresolved.
👉 The real driver? The Fed.

Futures now price in a 98% chance of a 25 bps cut on Oct 29, and an 87% chance of another cut in December.

This would push the Fed funds rate down to 3.50–3.75% by year-end.

Investors are betting that liquidity injections + easier policy = more fuel for equities.

⚖️ The market is choosing to ignore Washington gridlock and focusing on Fed easing. Liquidity optimism is outweighing shutdown fears.

📌 Macro Takeaways:
1️⃣ Fed policy is the main story – Aggressive rate cut bets are creating a feedback loop that pushes stocks higher.
2️⃣ Sector rotation confirms confidence – Consumer Discretionary (growth/cyclical plays) is outperforming Staples (defensive plays). That’s a classic “risk-on” signal.
3️⃣ S&P 500 Technical picture remains bullish –
• Key support → 6,690
• Upside targets → 6,800–6,850 (Fibonacci levels & channel resistance)
• RSI holding strong above 50 → momentum still on bulls’ side.
4️⃣ Markets are in a defined uptrend since May 2025. Bias remains higher unless 6,690 breaks.

🔥 Key Stock Movers Today:

Tesla (TSLA) ⚡
+1.4% premarket (after -5.1% yesterday).
• Posted record Q3 deliveries: 497,099 cars.
• Facing governance risk as some shareholders push back against Musk’s $1T pay package.
• Still +8% YTD despite wild swings.

Rivian (RIVN) 🚙
+0.5% premarket (after -7.4% yesterday).
• Deliveries +32% YoY and beat estimates.
• BUT cut full-year delivery guidance → weighing on sentiment.
• Shares down 6 straight sessions.

Applied Materials (AMAT) ⚠️
-2.2% premarket.
• Hit by new U.S. chip export restrictions to China.
• Guides Q4 revenue down -$110M and sees $600M revenue hit in 2026.
• Chip peers like KLA, Lam Research also trading lower.

Boeing (BA) ✈️
+0.2% despite negative news.
• 777x jet delayed again → now 2027 (was 2026).
• Investors largely shrugging it off, but execution risk remains.

Fair Isaac (FICO) 💳
+0.9% premarket after a monster +18% yesterday (biggest gain since 2022).
• New direct pricing model lets lenders bypass credit bureaus → could disrupt industry.
• Competitors Equifax, TransUnion, Experian all tumbled yesterday; small rebound premarket.

Coinbase (COIN) ₿
+0.4% at $373.72.
• Riding Bitcoin’s surge → BTC near $121K.
• Upgraded to “Buy” by Rothschild & Co Redburn; price target raised to $417 (from $325).
• Stock has now risen 5 straight sessions.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) 🛢️
+1.5% premarket (after -7.3% yesterday).
• Announced sale of its petrochemical unit to Berkshire Hathaway for $9.7B.
• Market digesting long-term impact, but stock stabilizing today.

Rumble (RUM) 🤖
+11% premarket.
• Announced AI partnership with Perplexity to enhance video discovery.
• One of the biggest gainers today → AI + growth hype fueling strong sentiment.

✅ Bottom Line for Investors:

Macro drivers dominate: Fed easing bets are the backbone of this rally.

Sector rotation + technicals: Growth leading defensives, trend still firmly bullish.

Stock-specific catalysts: Tesla’s record deliveries, Rumble’s AI news, Coinbase’s crypto momentum, and Occidental’s Berkshire deal are moving headlines.

Unless support at 6,690 breaks, markets likely grind higher toward 6,800–6,850 near term.

#StockMarket #Tesla #Coinbase #Rumble #Bitcoin #AI #Fed #Investing #SP500

4 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📊 Market Update – Oct 2, 2025 :

🚨Stocks are climbing this morning even with a U.S. government shutdown and a weak jobs report hanging over markets. Why? 👉 Traders are convinced the Fed is now cornered into cutting rates twice before year-end.🚨

🔑 Macro Drivers

Weak ADP Jobs Data → Private payrolls unexpectedly shed jobs in Sept. With official labor reports delayed by the shutdown, ADP becomes the only signal — and it screams “rate cuts.”

Government Shutdown → Creates a data vacuum. The Fed is “flying blind” without jobs + inflation reports, which ironically makes cuts more likely.

Safe Haven Flows → Gold hit another all-time high ($3,895/oz), Treasuries rallied, and the dollar slid. Markets are hedging even as equities rise.

Oil Weakness → 4th straight day of declines (Brent ~$65). Oversupply fears, but also reduces inflation pressures → more room for Fed easing.

Global Strength → Europe at fresh record highs, Asia tech boosted by Samsung & SK Hynix’s OpenAI deal.

🚀 Pre-Market Movers

Tesla (TSLA) +1.6% → Q3 deliveries expected ~448k vs 384k prior. Demand boosted by EV tax credit deadline. Stock up 8.5% in 4 sessions → clear bullish momentum.

Fair Isaac (FICO) +10% → New pricing model gives lenders direct access to FICO scores. Huge upside for FICO (EPS growth +20–25%), but bad news for bureaus: Equifax –12%, TransUnion –11%, Experian –7%.

Fermi (FRMI) +14% → Riding IPO wave (+55% yesterday). Powers AI data centers with nuclear + natural gas. Investors piling into “AI + energy” theme.

Nvidia (NVDA) +0.9% → Fresh record highs. Up nearly 40% YTD, still the face of AI adoption.

Newmont (NEM) +0.8% → All-time high at $85.95, tracking gold’s surge.

✅ Key Takeaways

Fed cuts = main catalyst → Weak jobs + shutdown delays = traders fully pricing two cuts.

Tech & AI lead risk appetite → Tesla, Nvidia, Fermi proving growth trade alive.

Industry disruption → FICO flips credit scoring model, crushing Equifax/TransUnion overnight.

Dual positioning → Investors buying both equities (risk) and gold/Treasuries (safety) → unusual, but all about rates.

Energy lags while inflation cools → Falling oil helps ease Fed’s job.

👉 Bottom Line: Markets are rallying on rate-cut optimism, not on strong growth. Tech + AI stocks (TSLA, NVDA, FRMI) are leading risk-on, while gold and bonds show investors are hedging uncertainty. Shutdown = data blackout → every Fed signal matters more than usual.

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

🚨 Premarket Movers – Oct 1, 2025: U.S. markets sliding premarket today — here’s why: 🚨

🔹 Government Shutdown just kicked in overnight. With no deal out of Congress, we’ve got federal agencies closing and key economic data (jobs, CPI) at risk of delay. Wall Street hates uncertainty → futures red.

🔹 Safe-Haven Flows — gold ripping to record highs, Treasury yields dipping. Classic “risk-off” move.

🔹 China Weakness — fresh PMI data still shows contraction. Global growth worries back on the table.

🔹 Fed Uncertainty — mixed messages on when cuts come. With data possibly delayed, traders are leaning on Fed speeches → more volatility ahead.


📈 Big Gainers:

• AES (+14%) – 🚀 Rumors of a $38B buyout deal with BlackRock’s Global Infrastructure Partners sent shares flying. Big money move in utilities.
• Lithium Americas (+30%) – 💎 The U.S. DOE is taking a 5% equity stake in its Thacker Pass lithium project. Huge win for critical minerals + EV supply chain.
• Nike (+4%) – 👟 Earnings beat expectations across the board. Strong demand + resilient margins = investor confidence back in sportswear.
• AST SpaceMobile (+7%) – 📡 One of the day’s big tech gainers despite market weakness. Investors still betting on its satellite-to-cell vision.
• Corebridge Financial & BitMine Immersion (+4%+) – Smaller names but showing strength ahead of the bell.

📉 Decliners:

• RPM International (RPM) –5.7%

• Reddit (RDDT) –4.6%


📊 Market Setup:

• S&P 500 futures –0.48% 📉

• Dow futures –0.45%

• VIX futures –0.39% (no fear spike)


🌍 Global + Macro:


• Nikkei –0.85% 🇯🇵

• STOXX 600 +0.65%, FTSE 100 +0.66% 🇪🇺

• Brent crude –0.38% 🛢️

• Gold +1% 🟡

• Bitcoin +1.78% → $116,441 ₿


💡 Takeaways: Stock-specific catalysts are driving big premarket moves (AES & ASTS leading). Futures suggest a cautious open, but crypto & gold strength show risk appetite + some defensive hedging.

• Expect headline-driven, choppy trading.

• Defensive plays > growth for now.

• Watch gold & 10-yr yields — they’re the market’s risk thermometer.

• Relief rally possible if shutdown ends quickly, but risk-off tone rules the day.

⚡️Question for you guys: Are you buying this dip, or waiting for clarity?

4 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📉 Market Summary (Sept 24, 2025)
Pre-Market Movers
• Winners
○ Lithium Americas (LAC) +67% → U.S. government in talks to take equity stake in its Nevada lithium mine.
○ Alibaba (BABA) +9% → $50B AI & cloud investment + new large language model.
○ Mirion Tech (MIR) +7.9%, Cipher Mining (CIFR) +7.1%, Rigetti (RGTI) → momentum/speculative plays.
○ Albemarle (ALB) +4.3% → sympathy rally with LAC.
○ Thor Industries (THO) +6.8% → earnings beat, steady RV demand.
○ GM +2.4% → UBS upgrade, stronger EV positioning.
○ Amazon (AMZN) +1.4% → AWS growth outlook.
• Losers
○ Bloom Energy (BE) –6.8%, QMMM –5.8% → sector weakness.
○ Plug Power (PLUG) –3.2% → pullback after huge September run.
○ Kenvue (KVUE) – recovering from Trump-linked Tylenol controversy but still fragile.
Macro & Fed
• Powell warning: Stocks are “fairly highly valued”; inflation sticky, labor weakening → no guaranteed cuts.
• Fed split: Some want more cuts (Bowman), others cautious (Bostic).
• Markets: Pricing in 2 cuts this year, unsure about January.
• Survey: Fund managers say stocks are “most overvalued” since dot-com (AI-driven).
• Macro backdrop: “Stagflation-lite” → slowing growth + sticky inflation.
Commodities, Bonds, Crypto
• Brent oil +1%, Bitcoin $113K+, 10Y Treasury yield up to 4.12%.
• Gold –0.46% (risk-on move).
Geopolitics
• Trump @ U.N. → warned EU & others on Russian energy; EU accelerates cutoff timeline.
• U.S. pushing critical mineral & energy independence agenda.
AI & Infrastructure
• Stargate Project (OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank): $500B AI data center buildout, 10GW capacity, 25K+ jobs.


✅ Key Insights

1. AI & Cloud = Growth Driver
○ Alibaba’s $50B push + Micron’s earnings highlight ongoing AI infrastructure race.
○ U.S. Stargate project adds massive investment cycle → bullish for Oracle, chipmakers, and data center infrastructure.
2. Critical Minerals Front & Center
○ U.S. pivot to equity stakes in lithium/rare earths (LAC, ALB, MP Materials) = strategic shift.
○ EV supply chain security = long-term bullish for autos (GM, Tesla suppliers).
3. Macro/Fed Risk Rising
○ Powell’s “no risk-free path” + stagflation-lite fears = equities vulnerable despite tech/AI enthusiasm.
○ Rate cuts not guaranteed → Friday’s PCE data critical.
4. Geopolitics = Commodity Pressure
○ Tariffs, energy sanctions, and EU decoupling could drive volatility in oil, gas, and metals.
5. Consumer & Streaming Weakness
○ Disney hiking prices (again) + industry-wide hikes test consumer tolerance amid subscription fatigue.
○ Kenvue shows how political noise can hit consumer names.
6. Market Tone
○ Futures slightly higher, but VIX + yields up → optimism fragile.
Risk-on in AI/mining/energy, but macro warning signs remain.

4 months ago | [YT] | 0

Macro To Micro

📉 Market Pullback & Big Movers — Sept 23, 2025

U.S. stock futures were mostly lower as investors awaited Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for clues on interest rates.

Nvidia (NVDA): Fell 1.1% after Monday’s record high; announced a $100B investment in OpenAI to build AI data centers, deploying 10 GW of Nvidia AI systems. Stock is up 37% YTD.

Apple (AAPL): Down 0.5% premarket after strong 4.3% gain Monday. Wedbush raised PT to $310, citing an underestimated iPhone 17 upgrade cycle.

Kenvue (KVUE): Rebounded +4.8% after plunging 7.5% Monday to record low. Selling pressure came after Trump made an unproven claim linking Tylenol to autism; Kenvue defended its product with science-based statements.

Firefly Aerospace (FFLY): Dropped 9.6% after weak first earnings as a public company—revenue missed ($15.5M vs. $16.8M est.) and losses widened.

Disney (DIS): Rose 0.2% after announcing “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” would return, reversing a recent suspension tied to controversy.

Plug Power (PLUG): Up 6.8% premarket after a 22% surge Monday; stock is up 88% over last 9 sessions.

Micron (MU): +0.8% premarket ahead of Q4 earnings report; expectations: EPS $2.86 on $11.2B revenue. Stock up 96% YTD.

AutoZone (AZO): Down 3.2% after earnings miss despite higher revenue ($6.24B vs. $6.21B YoY).

CoreWeave (CRWE): +2.6% after upgrades from Melius and Wells Fargo, PT raised to $170 (from $105).

Vistra (VST): -2.2% after downgrade by Jefferies to Hold, PT cut to $230 (from $241). Stock has gained 94% in past year.



✅ Key Insights

AI remains the central theme: Nvidia’s record highs and CoreWeave’s upgrades highlight Wall Street’s continued bullishness on AI infrastructure.

Consumer tech in focus: Apple is expected to see a strong iPhone 17 cycle, with analysts turning more bullish.

Volatility in healthcare: Kenvue rebounded after a politically fueled selloff, showing how headlines can drive short-term moves even against scientific consensus.

Speculative plays showing extremes: Plug Power’s 88% run in 9 sessions underscores risk/reward in green tech.

Earnings driving dispersion: AutoZone (miss), Firefly (disappointing first report), and Micron (up ahead of earnings) show the earnings calendar is a key catalyst this week.

Downgrades taking effect: Vistra’s pullback shows analysts still have influence even in strong uptrending names.

4 months ago (edited) | [YT] | 0