Strifor Trading Club

⏰ Trading Hours Update

Due to Labour Day and the Early May Bank Holiday, trading hours for several instruments will be adjusted. Some markets will be closed, while others will operate on modified schedules.

Please take these changes into account when planning your trading activity and managing open positions.

🔗 Full schedule: https://strifor.biz/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/trading-hours-schedule.pdf

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

🏛️ Today: Powell's Final Fed Meeting as Chair
April 29 marks the conclusion of the two-day FOMC meeting. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of rates staying in the 3.50–3.75% range stands at 100%. This would be the third consecutive pause in 2026 — the Fed held rates unchanged at both the January and March meetings.

But today carries extra weight. This is likely Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as Fed Chair — his term expires on May 15. Over eight years, he guided the central bank through a pandemic, an inflation crisis, and the current oil shock. The press conference starts at 2:30 PM ET.

What to listen for from Powell today:
⏩ How the Fed assesses inflation risks from the war — CPI hit 3.3% in March, the highest since May 2024
⏩ Any signals on the timeline for a potential rate cut before year-end
⏩ Whether Powell will remain on the Fed's Board of Governors after May 15 — he has yet to confirm

What's next: the Senate Banking Committee votes on Kevin Warsh's nomination today as well. A new era at the Fed is already beginning.

📌 Watch the press conference at 2:30 PM ET — markets will be moving on every word.

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

📅 A Packed Week: Fed, GDP and Earnings Season
The US earnings season rolls on — this week the world's biggest tech companies report. But the macro calendar is where the real action is.

⏩ Wednesday, April 29:
— Durable Goods Orders for March (8:30 AM ET)
— Fed rate decision (2:00 PM ET) — markets price a 100% probability of rates held at 3.50–3.75%
— Powell press conference (2:30 PM ET) — his last as Fed Chair: term expires May 15
— Japan: no trading (Showa Day)

⏩ Thursday, April 30:
— US GDP Q1 2026 (8:30 AM ET) — released against a backdrop of rising oil and CPI at 3.3%, a two-year high
— PCE Price Index for March (8:30 AM ET) — drops simultaneously with GDP
— Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET)
— Chicago PMI for April (10:45 AM ET)

⏩ Friday, May 1:
— China, Brazil, India and others: no trading (Labour Day)
— US PMI for April (9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET)

📌 What to watch: the rate hold is a foregone conclusion. What matters is how Powell frames the inflation risk from oil — and whether he signals anything about the timeline for future cuts. Thursday's GDP and PCE combo will reveal the true state of the economy under energy price pressure. Expect volatility.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

🏛️ Trump's Fed Chair Nominee Faces Senate
On April 21, Kevin Warsh told senators he won't take political direction from Trump, plans to shrink the Fed's balance sheet, and wants a new inflation framework. He also recognized crypto as part of the financial system. The S&P 500 closed down 0.6% — stalled Iran talks added to the pressure. Warsh's confirmation remains blocked in committee. Powell's term expires May 15.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

📈 S&P 500 at an All-Time High — But the Picture Isn't Simple

On April 18, the S&P 500 closed at 7,125 — a new record. The 12.3% gain in 13 sessions from the March 30 low is the strongest rally since 2020. The catalyst: Middle East de-escalation hopes and short covering.

But internally, the picture is weaker. Only 12 out of 500 stocks made new 52-week highs when the index hit its record. The equal-weight S&P gained just 8% vs. 12.2% for the cap-weighted version — a handful of names are doing the heavy lifting.

On Monday, geopolitics struck back: oil surged 5% in a single session. The same force that drove the rally could just as quickly reverse it.

📌 Short-covering rallies unwind just as fast as they start.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

...and then you sleep and all you see is candles and charts 📊🕯

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

Strifor Trading Club

📉 US Labor Market: The Swings Continue
On April 3, the US jobs report for March was released. The economy added 178,000 nonfarm payrolls — well above the forecast of 60,000 and the strongest reading since late 2024. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.3%.

But the context matters more than the headline. February was revised sharply lower: from an initial -92,000 to a loss of 133,000 jobs. Over the past year, the economy has averaged just around 22,000 jobs per month — one of the weakest stretches in years.

📌 What this means for traders:
Strong March data reduces pressure on the Fed to cut rates — which markets weren't pricing in anyway given the oil shock. At the same time, a weakening labor market combined with rising inflation puts the Fed in a classic bind: cutting risks fueling inflation, holding risks stifling growth. Next Fed meeting: April 28–29.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

1 month ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

Like if that's relatable 🕯

More memes in our trader community on Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

Strifor Trading Club

🇺🇸 US CPI Data Due This Week
On Friday, April 10 at 8:30 AM ET, the US inflation report for March will be released. This will be the first CPI print to fully capture the impact of the Middle East war and the oil shock on consumer prices.

❓ What markets expect:
Economists are forecasting a 1% monthly increase — the sharpest one-month advance since 2022. The main driver: the Iran war pushed gas prices at the pump up by roughly $1 per gallon. For context, February CPI came in at +0.3% month-on-month and +2.4% year-on-year.

❗️Why it matters:
CPI data directly drives expectations around Fed rate policy. Powell last week signaled no intention to hike — but a hot print could shift market sentiment quickly. Strong inflation acceleration → pressure on equities and bonds, support for the dollar. In-line data → markets stay calm.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future result

1 month ago | [YT] | 0

Strifor Trading Club

🎙 Powell at Harvard
On March 30, Fed Chair Powell spoke at Harvard in one of his last public appearances before his term ends May 15. The key signal: rates stay in the 3.50–3.75% range, no hike coming. Market-implied odds of a rate increase collapsed from 50%+ to 2.2% during the speech. Powell called the oil shock temporary — tightening now would hit the economy after the shock is already gone. Meanwhile, PCE inflation sits at 2.9%, above the 2% target for the fifth straight year. The Dow Jones gained 0.5%+ on the news. The next Fed meeting is late April — Powell's last as Chair.

📲 More in Telegram — https://t.me/strifor_eng

Risk disclaimer: Trading CFDs carries a high risk of losing all invested capital. 87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results

1 month ago | [YT] | 0