Finshots By Manish

V2 Retail Q3 FY26 Business Update
Sales up by 57%
Added 35 new stores, total store count 294

5 days ago | [YT] | 6

Finshots By Manish

Reupload due to glitch in Audio
https://youtu.be/67UMyAFPUgc

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 2

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Midcap and Smallcaps are oversold now.

4 weeks ago | [YT] | 2

Finshots By Manish

What Is EPS? (Earnings Per Share Explained Simply)

If you want to understand a company’s true earning power, start with EPS.
It is one of the most important metrics in stock investing.

✅ What Is EPS?
EPS (Earnings Per Share) tells you how much profit a company makes for each share.
Formula:
EPS = Net Profit ÷ Total Number of Shares
Example:
If a company earns ₹100 crore profit and has 10 crore shares:
EPS = 100 ÷ 10 = ₹10
This means:
➡️ The company earns ₹10 profit per share.

✅ Why EPS Is Important?
1. Shows Real Profitability
Revenue can be high, but if profit is low, the business may not be strong.
EPS shows actual profit going to shareholders.
2. Used in Valuation (P/E Ratio)
P/E = Price ÷ EPS
So higher EPS → better valuations.
3. Helps Compare Companies
EPS helps you check which company is generating more profit per share within the same industry.
4. EPS Growth = Stock Price Growth
Long-term stock prices follow EPS growth.
If EPS grows consistently → stock tends to rise.
💡 “Price is temporary, earnings are reality.”

❗ Types of EPS You Should Know
1. Basic EPS
Simple formula using total shares.
2. Diluted EPS
Used when company issues:
ESOPs
Warrants
Convertible bonds


Diluted EPS is more accurate for future profits because it includes the impact of additional shares.

🚨 When EPS Can Mislead You
Be careful when:
Company sells assets → temporary profit increases


Company reduces share count → EPS increases artificially


Company has cyclical earnings (profits swing year to year)


Always check 3–5 year EPS trend, not just one year.

⭐ Quick Summary

EPS tells you profit per share

Higher EPS = more valuable business

Use EPS growth to identify long-term winners

Combine EPS with P/E, ROCE, and revenue growth for full picture

1 month ago | [YT] | 2

Finshots By Manish

What Is P/E Ratio? (Simplest Explanation)

If you learn just one valuation metric, it should be the P/E Ratio.
Because every investor—from beginners to professionals—uses it daily.

✅ What Is P/E Ratio?

P/E Ratio means Price to Earnings Ratio.
It tells you how much you are paying for ₹1 of the company’s profit.

Formula:

P/E = Share Price ÷ EPS (Earnings Per Share)

Example:
If a stock’s price is ₹200 and its EPS is ₹10:
P/E = 200 ÷ 10 = 20

This means:
➡️ You are paying ₹20 for every ₹1 profit the company earns.

✅ Why P/E Ratio Matters?

Because it tells you whether a stock is:

Cheap

Fairly priced

Expensive

But remember—low P/E doesn’t always mean good, and high P/E doesn’t always mean bad.

✅ How To Use P/E Ratio the Right Way?

1. Compare with Industry P/E

A bank with P/E 20 can’t be compared with a tech company with P/E 60.
Compare only within the same industry.

2. Compare with Company’s Own History

If the company’s 5-year average P/E is 30 and current P/E is 22 → stock may be undervalued.

3. Understand Growth

High-growth companies naturally have higher P/E.
Low-growth companies usually have lower P/E.

Golden Rule:

💡 "High P/E is acceptable if high growth is coming."

❌ When P/E Ratio Misleads

There are times when P/E should NOT be used:

Company has cyclical earnings (metals, sugar, chemicals)

Company profits are temporarily high

Company has huge debt

Company is making losses (no EPS → P/E becomes meaningless)

1 month ago | [YT] | 2

Finshots By Manish

While large FMCG players like HUL, Brittania, Bikaji Foods have no growth or degrowth in revenue, there are some very small players like HOAC foods, Vintage Coffee, Integrated Industries and Srivari Spices have scorching growth.

1 month ago | [YT] | 3

Finshots By Manish

V2 Retail Concall Analysis
https://youtu.be/eAPXVEBbOJU

1 month ago | [YT] | 0

Finshots By Manish

Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd – Business Overview + Future Growth Outlook

Listed company, with two 100% export-oriented subsidiaries:

Vintage Coffee Pvt Ltd – Instant coffee (spray-dried & agglomerated).
Delecto Foods Pvt Ltd – Instant chicory.

Total current capacity: 8,200 MT, fully utilized.

Coffee: 6,500 MT

Chicory: 1,700 MT

✅ Q2 FY26 Financial Performance
Revenue: ₹135.61 cr
EBITDA: ₹23.73 cr
PAT: ₹17.83 cr
Growth vs last year:
Revenue ↑ 89.5%
EBITDA ↑ 106%
PAT ↑ 137%


✅ Current Demand & Product Mix
Product mix has shifted towards higher-margin agglomerated coffee in consumer packs.

Current split: 50% bulk, 50% consumer packs.

Consumer packs improve EBITDA per kg significantly.



✅ Capacity Expansion Plans (Major Growth Driver)

✅ 1. Brownfield Expansion – +4,500 MT
Expected completion: March 2026
Capex: ₹45 crore
Funding: 100% internal accruals
Ramp-up:
Month 1: 70–80% utilisation
Month 2 onwards: 100% utilisation
This increases spray/agglomerated coffee capacity to 11,000 MT.

✅ Strong customer visibility already available.

✅ 2. Major Greenfield Freeze-Dried Coffee Plant – +5,000 MT
Completion: March 2027
Capex: ~₹450 crore
Funding: Mostly via debt (no equity dilution planned).
Freeze-dried coffee:
Growing at 10–12% annually globally
EBITDA margins 22–25% (vs 16–18% for spray-dried)


✅ Freeze-dried coffee has 30–40% higher revenue potential per kg.

✅ Long-Term Capacity Guidance
Company expects to reach ~20,000 MT over 3–4 years:
12,000–13,000 MT → Spray/Agglomerated
7,000–8,000 MT → Freeze-dried

✅ Revenue Potential Based on Capacity
Management didn’t give exact numbers but acknowledged:
At today’s coffee prices, ₹1,500–1,600 crore annual revenue (FY28–29) is a realistic ballpark.

Actual revenue will depend heavily on product mix & global coffee prices.

✅ Margins & Pricing Stability
All customer contracts follow cost-plus margin structure →
✅ EBITDA protected even during coffee price volatility

Pricing is fixed quarterly, volumes committed annually.

Company books raw material immediately after order confirmation →
✅ eliminates volatility risk on margins

✅ Other Key Points
Coffee bean prices expected to stay in the $4,500–4,800/MT range.

Working capital improves if prices fall.

Packaging backward integration adds 2–3% extra margin.

Chicory plant is operating at full capacity (1,700 MT).

No equity dilution planned.

One café outlet opened in Mumbai (franchise model), 2–3 more expected.



✅ Future Growth Drivers (Most Important)
✅ 1. Massive Capacity Expansion
From 8,200 MT → 20,000 MT in 3–4 years
This alone is a 2.4× increase.


✅ 2. High-margin Freeze-Dried Coffee
Global demand growing faster
Higher realization
Higher EBITDA
Opens doors to premium markets: EU, US, Japan

✅ 3. Strong Global Customer Base
Exports to:
Southeast Asia
Europe
Africa
Russia
CIS
China
Expanding into Latin America
Existing customers willing to absorb new capacities.


✅ 4. Consumer Pack Focus
Higher branding, higher margins
Company scaling packaging to 3,000 MT capacity
Better EBITDA per kg due to value addition


✅ 5. Cost-plus Pricing Model
Ensures margin stability regardless of raw material volatility
Gives confidence for debt-funded expansion


✅ 6. Fully Utilized Current Capacity
Demand is already higher than supply
Strong visibility for expanded capacities


✅ 7. No Equity Dilution
Investor-friendly
EPS accretive growth as profits rise



✅ Bottom-Line Investment Insight
Vintage Coffee is in the middle of a multi-year expansion cycle backed by:
Strong balance sheet
Secured demand
Higher-margin products
Rising global coffee consumption
Entry into freeze-dried premium category


If execution remains stable, the company may reach ₹1,500–1,700 crore revenues and industry-leading margins by FY28–29.

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

Finshots By Manish

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1 month ago | [YT] | 1

Finshots By Manish

Jeena Sikho rocks again. Posted whooping 66% sales growth and PAT growth of 121%. With now incresed EPS, P/E multiple adjusted to 62.

2 months ago | [YT] | 5