My heart goes out to all of my friends in the United States at the moment. I don't know how America comes back from this, but I hope one day sees those responsible for taking away your freedoms and driving the US into the abyss, will be held to account. The worst darkness is just before the dawn.
Labour will still be in government — but under visible strain
Keir Starmer’s government is unlikely to fall by 2026.
However, it will look less dominant and less popular than in its honeymoon phase.
Expect:
Falling approval ratings
Backbench unrest
Accusations of “managed decline” or “Tory-lite” from both left and right of politics.
Why I think this:
Economic repair takes longer than electoral patience. Public expectations after 14 years of Tory rule will outpace what Labour can realistically deliver within two years.
Reform UK will outperform expectations in local & by-elections
Reform will likely:
Win council seats in places Labour assumed were safe
Come second in more parliamentary by-elections
Force media to treat them as a semi-permanent fixture in UK politics.
They may not yet win many more Westminster seats — but vote share and visibility will rise.
Why I think this will happen
Reform thrives on:
Protest voting
Anti-establishment energy
Culture-war framing
Labour’s cautious style unintentionally feeds this too.
The Conservatives will still be in identity crisis
In 2026, the Tories will:
Still be arguing over -
Culture wars vs economics
Reform-style populism vs “respectability”
Possibly have changed leader again or be under pressure to do so. Watch out Kemi.
They will not have rebuilt trust on the economy.
Prediction:
The Tories won’t fully recover until after Reform either peaks or collapses — and that probably won’t happen in 2026.
Immigration will dominate politics — again
Net migration will still be high
Cross-Channel rhetoric will remain intense
Labour will:
Talk tougher than activists want
Act more cautiously than Reform demands
This becomes a permanent wedge issue, not a solvable one.
Living standards will improve slightly — but not perceptibly
Technically:
Inflation down
Wages up a bit
GDP limping forward
Politically:
People still feel poorer
Housing still broken
Public services still stretched
This gap between statistics and lived experience will fuel cynicism.
The media environment will become more openly partisan and angry
GB News / TalkTV-style outlets continue to radicalise tone
Traditional broadcasters face:
Trust erosion
Accusations of bias from all sides
Prediction:
Political persuasion in 2026 is driven more by short-form outrage than policy argument.
A “none of the above” mood will harden
In 2026:
Fewer people identify strongly with a party
More people vote against rather than for
Turnout pressure grows, especially among younger voters
Maximilien Robespierre
Oh look at Reformers...
2 hours ago | [YT] | 262
View 81 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Is Reform UK becoming the Tory party?
13 hours ago | [YT] | 290
View 329 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Nigel Farage claimed a Labour MP is going to defect to Reform. Why do I keep getting Jonathan Hinder in my mind?
3 days ago | [YT] | 324
View 235 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Why Kemi Badenoch right to boot out Robert Jenrick?
4 days ago | [YT] | 173
View 170 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Hey Guys,
Tuesday's livestream has been moved to tonight (Wednesday) I hope to see you later!
What do you see as the big story this week?
5 days ago | [YT] | 143
View 63 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Hi guys, sorry but there is no livestream tonight. 😢
6 days ago | [YT] | 170
View 13 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
How the First Past The Post voting system works.
1 week ago | [YT] | 1,207
View 171 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
Ireland passes UBI?
1 week ago | [YT] | 925
View 205 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
My heart goes out to all of my friends in the United States at the moment. I don't know how America comes back from this, but I hope one day sees those responsible for taking away your freedoms and driving the US into the abyss, will be held to account. The worst darkness is just before the dawn.
Solidarity 🇺🇲🗽
1 week ago | [YT] | 3,956
View 579 replies
Maximilien Robespierre
My TLDR political predictions for 2026!
Labour will still be in government — but under visible strain
Keir Starmer’s government is unlikely to fall by 2026.
However, it will look less dominant and less popular than in its honeymoon phase.
Expect:
Falling approval ratings
Backbench unrest
Accusations of “managed decline” or “Tory-lite” from both left and right of politics.
Why I think this:
Economic repair takes longer than electoral patience. Public expectations after 14 years of Tory rule will outpace what Labour can realistically deliver within two years.
Reform UK will outperform expectations in local & by-elections
Reform will likely:
Win council seats in places Labour assumed were safe
Come second in more parliamentary by-elections
Force media to treat them as a semi-permanent fixture in UK politics.
They may not yet win many more Westminster seats — but vote share and visibility will rise.
Why I think this will happen
Reform thrives on:
Protest voting
Anti-establishment energy
Culture-war framing
Labour’s cautious style unintentionally feeds this too.
The Conservatives will still be in identity crisis
In 2026, the Tories will:
Still be arguing over -
Culture wars vs economics
Reform-style populism vs “respectability”
Possibly have changed leader again or be under pressure to do so. Watch out Kemi.
They will not have rebuilt trust on the economy.
Prediction:
The Tories won’t fully recover until after Reform either peaks or collapses — and that probably won’t happen in 2026.
Immigration will dominate politics — again
Net migration will still be high
Cross-Channel rhetoric will remain intense
Labour will:
Talk tougher than activists want
Act more cautiously than Reform demands
This becomes a permanent wedge issue, not a solvable one.
Living standards will improve slightly — but not perceptibly
Technically:
Inflation down
Wages up a bit
GDP limping forward
Politically:
People still feel poorer
Housing still broken
Public services still stretched
This gap between statistics and lived experience will fuel cynicism.
The media environment will become more openly partisan and angry
GB News / TalkTV-style outlets continue to radicalise tone
Traditional broadcasters face:
Trust erosion
Accusations of bias from all sides
Prediction:
Political persuasion in 2026 is driven more by short-form outrage than policy argument.
A “none of the above” mood will harden
In 2026:
Fewer people identify strongly with a party
More people vote against rather than for
Turnout pressure grows, especially among younger voters
This benefits:
Protest parties
Independents
Anti-politics narratives
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 253
View 246 replies
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