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Extreme Weather 2026: Australia Fires, Storm Goretti & Polar Vortex Split [Science Explained]

Extreme weather is hitting the planet simultaneously this week. From a catastrophic "State of Disaster" in Australia to a major Polar Vortex collapse in Europe, we are witnessing the impact of a rapidly destabilizing climate system in real-time.

In this video, we break down the three most significant weather events occurring today, January 11, 2026:

Australia Fire & Cyclone: Victoria faces record 46°C heat and bushfires while Cyclone Koji makes landfall in Queensland.

Europe’s Polar Vortex Split: How Sudden Stratospheric Warming triggered Storm Goretti and a massive Arctic cold spill.

USA Mid-Winter Floods: The meteorological "why" behind record-breaking January rainfall in the Midwest.

Chapters: 0:00 Global Weather Extremes 2026 0:45 Australia: Victoria Fires & Cyclone Koji 2:30 Europe: Storm Goretti & Polar Vortex Collapse 5:30 USA: Record Mid-Winter Flash Flooding 7:30 The Science: Why the Jet Stream is Buckling

Stay Informed: Subscribe for daily data-backed updates on global climate shifts and extreme weather events. We use verified data from NOAA, the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), and Copernicus to bring you the facts without the sensationalism.

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Current Status (Late November 2025)
Recent Activity (Nov 20–24): Signs of renewed activity were observed at the Bocca Nuova crater starting around November 20. Dark ash emissions were spotted coming from the eastern inner pit.

The "Crack" (Fracturing): Scientific bulletins from October and November have reported a "fracture field" inside the Bocca Nuova crater. This fracturing is causing moderate seismic activity (tremors) as gas and magma move through the system.

Ash Plumes: As of November 23–24, volcanic ash plumes were reported rising up to 15,000 ft (4.6 km).

Alert Level: The volcano is generally in a state of unrest (oscillating between Green and Yellow alert levels depending on the day's specific intensity), which is typical for Etna's ongoing "open conduit" activity.

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Current seismic and volcanic activity updates for the Pacific Ring of Fire for November 24–25, 2025 are listed below.⚠️ Major Earthquake Headlines (Last 24 Hours)Philippines (Mindanao): A Magnitude 5.9 earthquake struck off the southern coast of Mindanao today, Tuesday, Nov 25.Impact: The quake was shallow (approx. 10 km depth), which typically produces stronger shaking, but currently, there are no immediate reports of major damage or tsunami threats.Japan (Kyushu): A Magnitude 5.4 earthquake struck the southern island of Kyushu today, Tuesday, Nov 25.Context: Japan has seen a cluster of moderate quakes in recent days. No tsunami warning was issued.Indonesia (Java & Halmahera):A Magnitude 5.2 earthquake struck East Java on Monday, Nov 24.1Another Magnitude 5.2 hit the Halmahera region (North Maluku) on Sunday, Nov 23.Costa Rica (Offshore): A Magnitude 5.6 earthquake was recorded in the North Pacific Ocean, southwest of San Isidro, late on Sunday/Early Monday.🌋 Active Volcano Updates (Ring of Fire Only)Mount Semeru (Indonesia):2Status: High Alert. The volcano erupted again on Nov 19 and has continued with explosive activity through Nov 25.3Warning: Ash clouds have risen over 15,000 ft, prompting aviation warnings.4 Residents and tourists are advised to stay 5–8 km away from the crater.5Mount Ibu (Indonesia):Status: Erupting. Explosive activity continues with ash plumes reported at 8,000 ft today, Nov 25.6Popocatépetl (Mexico):7Status: Active. Significant ash emissions were reported today, reaching massive heights of 25,000 ft (Flight Level 250), which can impact transcontinental flights.Fuego (Guatemala) & Reventador (Ecuador):8Both volcanoes remain in a state of high unrest with frequent explosions ejecting ash to 15,000–16,000 ft.📉 Regional Seismic Summary (Last 48 Hours)RegionActivity LevelNotable EventsSE Asia (Philippines/Indonesia)HighM5.9 (Phil), M5.2 (Indo), Semeru EruptionJapan / Kuril IslandsModerateM5.4 (Kyushu), M5.1 (Kuril Islands)Alaska / AleutiansModerateM5.5 (Adak/Aleutians), multiple M3-4 aftershocksUS West Coast (California)Low-ModerateM4.1 near Santa Rosa (Nov 24), ongoing minor swarmSouth AmericaModerateM5.6 off Costa Rica, M4.6 near Peru/Brazil borderNew Zealand / FijiModerateM4.7 near Fiji, White Island volcanic unrest

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The latest disaster news alerts for November 24-25, 2025 are listed below.

⚠️ Major Headlines
Historic Eruption in Ethiopia: The Hayli Gubbi volcano has erupted for the first time in ~12,000 years, sending massive ash clouds drifting across the Middle East and towards India, disrupting international flights.

Category 4 Cyclone Fina: A severe tropical cyclone is impacting Northern Australia, bringing destructive winds and heavy rain to the Kimberley coast.

Vietnam Humanitarian Crisis: Severe flooding and landslides in Central Vietnam have resulted in over 90 confirmed deaths.

🌀 Tropical Cyclones & Hurricanes
Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina (Australia):

Status: Active & Dangerous. Currently a Category 4 system (Australian scale).

Location: Impacting the north-east Kimberley coast of Western Australia.

Impact: Having passed near Darwin, it is now bringing very destructive winds (gusts up to 270 km/h) and heavy rainfall to coastal communities. It is expected to weaken as it moves inland but remains a significant threat.

Philippines (Invest 92W): A tropical depression (locally named "Verbena") is being monitored and is forecast to track across the Visayas and Palawan, potentially intensifying into a severe tropical storm.

Atlantic/East Pacific: No active storms (Hurricane season is winding down).

🌋 Volcanic Activity
Hayli Gubbi (Ethiopia) - MAJOR EVENT:

Status: Eruption reported on Nov 23 (first in recorded history). While the explosive eruption phase may have paused, the ash cloud is a major hazard.

Impact: Massive ash plumes (reaching 10-15km altitude) have drifted over Yemen, Oman, and are now affecting airspace over India (Delhi, Gujarat, Maharashtra), causing flight cancellations and diversions.

Mount Semeru (Indonesia): Erupted again on Nov 19, sending ash 6,500 ft into the air.

White Island (New Zealand): Low-level eruption reported on Nov 23.

🌊 Floods & Severe Weather
United States:

California Aftermath: The recent "Atmospheric River" has left ground saturated. While the worst is over, flood risks remain in burn scar areas.

Winter Storms: A major shift to winter weather is hitting the Northern and Central US, with heavy snow forecast for the Rockies and Great Lakes regions through late November.

Southeast Asia:

Vietnam: Critical situation in Central Vietnam (Dak Lak, Gia Lai, Khanh Hoa). Landslides and floods have killed 102 people (dead/missing) and submerged over 200,000 homes.

Thailand/Malaysia: Severe flood warnings are active for Southern Thailand and Peninsular Malaysia due to intense monsoon rains.

Europe: Albania is dealing with severe floods and landslides that have isolated villages and caused fatalities.

🌍 Earthquakes (Last 24-48 Hours)
M5.5 - Bangladesh: Struck near Narsingdi (Nov 21), causing strong shaking in Dhaka and resulting in injuries.

M5.7 - Russia (Kamchatka): Significant aftershock activity continues in this region.

M5.8 - Indonesia: Struck near Maluku on Nov 20.

M4.8 - Indonesia: Moderate shallow quake near Tiakur early on Nov 25.

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Active earthquake swarm occurring in the East Bay, specifically near San Ramon.

Location: San Ramon, CA (East Bay).

Fault Zone: The Calaveras Fault (specifically its northern segment).

Timeline: Began around November 9, 2025, and has continued with spurts of activity through late November.

Activity Level: Over 90 small earthquakes have been recorded in this cluster.

Key Magnitudes:

M 3.8 (The largest, occurred Nov 9).

M 3.6 (Near Vallejo on Nov 13, potentially linked to the Franklin/Southampton faults).

M 3.2 (Struck San Ramon again on Nov 20, keeping the swarm in the news).

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The latest activity status for Mount Etna as of late November 2025 indicates the volcano is in a state of ongoing, moderate activity without currently causing significant disruptions.

Current Activity Status: Active & Continuing
State: The volcano is officially in a state of "continuing" eruption, characterized by intermittent explosive and effusive activity at the summit craters.

Latest Observations (Nov 20–23, 2025):

Thermal Activity: Satellite data recorded moderate thermal anomalies in the summit area as recently as November 20 and 21, indicating hot lava or gas emissions are present at the surface.

Visuals: Weather conditions have occasionally obscured views, but monitoring stations continue to detect signs of unrest typical of Etna's background activity.

Ash Emissions: There have been no major ash advisories affecting international airspace in the last few days (Nov 20–23). The most significant recent disruptions to air traffic occurred earlier in the year (June and February).

Alert Levels
Civil Protection: The alert level generally fluctuates between Green (Activity at ordinary level) and Yellow (Caution) depending on the day-to-day intensity of Strombolian explosions.

Aviation: The Aviation Color Code is widely listed as Orange or Yellow in ongoing reports, meaning the volcano is showing heightened unrest or minor eruption, but ash emissions are currently low or confined to the summit area.

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latest monitoring data as of November 22, 2025, here is the update on the Campi Flegrei volcano.

🚨 Latest Seismic Activity (Nov 19–21 Swarm)
A significant shallow seismic swarm has occurred over the last few days, causing concern in the Pozzuoli and Naples areas.

Most Recent Felt Events:

November 20 (Thursday): A Magnitude 2.4 earthquake occurred at 4:24 AM local time. It was shallow (depth ~2 km) and widely felt. Residents reported a strong sulfur smell ("rotten eggs") following this event, likely due to increased fumarolic degassing.

November 19 (Wednesday): The swarm began with a Magnitude 2.7 (some sources say 2.5) earthquake at 7:21 PM local time. This was the strongest event of the current sequence.

Current Status: Small tremors continued into November 21, with multiple minor quakes (Magnitude < 2.0) recorded. The activity remains concentrated in the Solfatara-Pisciarelli area.

📈 Ground Deformation (Uplift Accelerating)
The rate of ground uplift (bradyseism) appears to have increased slightly in recent weeks.

Current Rate: The latest weekly bulletin reports an average uplift speed of approximately 25 ± 3 mm/month since mid-October 2025. (This is an increase from the previous average of ~15 mm/month seen earlier in the year).

Total Uplift: The ground at the Rione Terra (Pozzuoli port) has risen significantly over the course of 2025, putting continued stress on local infrastructure.

🔬 Scientific Discovery: "Hidden Ring Fault"
A new study released this week has identified a previously "hidden" ring fault beneath the caldera.

Using AI to analyze over 54,000 past micro-earthquakes, scientists mapped a fracture system that circles the caldera.

Significance: This fault structure helps explain the location of the recent earthquakes and confirms that the stress from the uplift is being released along this specific ring-shaped zone.

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🚨 Breaking Global Hazard Warnings and Weather Update 🚨

As of November 21, 2025, here is a summary of the current significant hazards worldwide:

🌀 Hurricanes and Major Tropical Storms
Active Tropical Cyclone Fina: This system is active in the vicinity of Australia. As of the latest update, it was reported with maximum sustained winds of approximately 75 mph (121 km/h).

Atlantic and Central/Eastern Pacific: The Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Central Pacific basins currently show no active tropical cyclones.

🌊 Major Floods and Storm Systems
There are several ongoing flood and severe weather alerts globally:

United States:

A large storm system is causing widespread heavy rainfall, with risks of flash floods and severe thunderstorms extending from the Southern Plains (Texas, Missouri) into the lower Mississippi Valley.

Southern California is bracing for heavy rain from a second storm, which is expected to bring a high potential for new flash floods and mudslides from Thursday night into Friday.

Flash flood warnings were recently issued for several desert counties in Arizona due to unusually heavy rainfall.

Global Flood Alerts:

Flash flood and flood alerts have been reported in the last 24 hours in countries including Chile, Argentina, the Republic of the Congo, and Vietnam.

An ongoing flood in Albania has prompted a Copernicus EMS activation.

⚠️ Other Significant Global Hazards
Volcanic Activity: An eruption has been reported at Mount Semeru in Indonesia, sending ash over 6,500 feet into the sky and posing a threat to air traffic.

Earthquakes: Recent significant seismic activity includes a Magnitude 5.8 earthquake in Indonesia (Nov 20) and a Magnitude 5.7 earthquake near Tonga (Nov 14).

Drought and Climate Change: The Pope recently urged world leaders at the UN climate talks in Brazil to take "concrete actions," stating that God's creation "is crying out in floods, droughts, storms and relentless heat," highlighting the ongoing global crisis of extreme weather events.

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