Welcome to Sherlock Analysis at White Oak FX π΅οΈββοΈπ
Here we decode the markets with logic, evidence, and institutional data. No hype, no guessing β just clear analysis that reveals the true intent behind price.
Expect:
π Daily and weekly market breakdowns
π§ Institutional supply and demand lessons
π CFTC data insights and footprint reading
π₯ Live session recaps & real-time logic
π¦ Signal explanations and market structure training
Our mission is simple: teach traders to stop reacting to candles and start understanding the clues institutions leave behind. Once you see the logic, the chart stops being noise.
Subscribe and join the investigation. πππ
Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
π¨ $EURUSD - JUST AS WARNED π¨
I warned that the banks needed liquidity to offload their euro long positions π¦π°
And to do that, they needed a bullish narrative to pull retail traders in π£π
Fast forward and right on cue β±οΈ
π° Headlines now pushing the story that the US dollar is falling because of President Donald Trumpβs tariff threats against Europe
This is how it works:
πΈ Create a bullish euro narrative
πΈ Retail traders start buying β¬
πΈ Banks quietly distribute and offload longs
πΈ Price rolls over once the job is done
Institutional playbook 101 π§
Price moves first - news comes later
If you understand narrative + positioning, the market stops feeling random
π² Telegram: t.me/supplydemandforextrading
1 week ago | [YT] | 15
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ CFTC SIGNALING A TURN ON $EURUSD π¨π
Latest #CFTC positioning is getting very interesting ππ
πΈ Institutional longs peaked near 298K and are now declining
πΈ Early signs of profit taking starting on the long side
πΈ Shorts have risen to around 150K, above the 13-week average
πΈ Potential early short accumulation taking place
πΈ Positioning coloration still slightly bullish
πΈ But a neutral tinge is appearing - often seen before major long unwinds
π Technical confirmation
πΈ Weekly RSI pushed into the red band on the last rally
πΈ Historically signals weakness, not strength
π Markets just opened and weβre already seeing a gap down on $EURUSD
Still early, but data + technicals are starting to align π§ π¦
#eurusd #cftcdata #cotreport
π² Join our Telegram for real-time π¨ updates & institutional π¦ trade ideas: t.me/supplydemandforextrading
1 week ago | [YT] | 16
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
π¨ππ¦ BITCOIN TRADE SIGNAL π¦ππ¨
π MARKET STRUCTURE UPDATE
π’ New INSTITUTIONAL DEMAND has formed on the DAILY time frame
π A very important DAILY SUPPLY zone has been REMOVED
π This shift in structure favors continuation to the upside
ππ¦ DIRECTION
LONG
π ENTRY PLAN
π’ Watching for price to RETRACE into the DAILY DEMAND zone
π’ Long trade will be taken if and when price trades back into demand
π RISK MANAGEMENT
π΄ Risk defined below the DAILY DEMAND zone or confirmation trade on lower timeframe
π― UPSIDE OBJECTIVE
π’ Expecting an explosive move higher
π’ Targeting at least 110K
π§ TRADE NOTES
πΈ Structure-driven setup
πΈ Institutional demand in control
πΈ Patience required before expansion
Let price come into demandβ¦ then let momentum take over π
www.whiteoakfx.com
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 12
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ $AXP MINI MARKET LESSON π¨π
American Express is in the news today after Donald Trump proposed capping credit card interest rates at 10%.
We are seeing a gap down in $AXP - and this move should not be a surprise.
π Higher time frame targets were already reached at 378
π¦ This was a key area where institutional profit taking was expected
π Banks have already started distributing positions
π On the daily chart we see a clear 3 Peaks structure
β οΈ The final peak printed with RSI around 60 - a classic sign of weakening momentum
π This setup points to a larger corrective move unfolding, which is exactly what price is doing now
This is why higher time frame targets matter. News often becomes the excuse - structure and positioning do the real work.
π² Join our Telegram for real-time π¨ updates & institutional π¦ trade ideas
t.me/supplydemandforextrading
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 5
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ $GBPUSD POSITIONING & PRICE ACTION UPDATE π¨π
Taking a deeper look at the Pound US dollar and the story lines up cleanly π
π In November, short positions became very aggressive
π At the same time, price was bottoming right at a weekly demand zone
π§ That tells us institutions were heavily positioned on the short side near lows
What happened next matters π
π Since then, weβve seen profit taking on those short positions
π That short covering acted as fuel for the move higher
π Price has now pushed back up and is currently sitting near the highs
Now hereβs the key part π¦
β οΈ Price is starting to show signs of turning over again
π Momentum is slowing and structure is weakening
π This lines up perfectly with what weβre seeing on $EURUSD
When multiple FX pairs start telling the same story, pay attention π
Positioning shifts first. Price follows.
This is why we track CFTC data alongside institutional supply and demand π΅οΈββοΈ
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 12
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ $EURUSD CFTC POSITIONING WARNING π¨π
Doing some deep CFTC data analysis on the Euro US dollar and this is a big one π
π Since last year, institutions have been extremely bullish on $EURUSD
π As of December 30th, 2025, long positions reached 294,738 contracts
π¨ This is an ALL-TIME RECORD
To put this into perspective π§
βοΈ In the entire history of euro long positioning, institutions have never held this many longs at once
Now letβs connect this to price action π
π On the weekly timeframe, upside momentum is clearly fading
β οΈ The most recent push higher showed weak follow-through
π This type of behavior often appears near major sentiment extremes
Markets donβt stay one-sided forever π¦
When positioning becomes this crowded, risk shifts dramatically
Is the tide starting to turn? π
Weβll be watching closely for confirmation as positioning and price realign
This is why CFTC data matters - sentiment shifts first, price reacts later π
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 25
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ $USDCAD CFTC POSITIONING SHIFT β WHATβS COMING NEXT? ππ
Looking at the latest #CFTC data, hereβs what stands out π
π From September through October and into November 2025, long positions were very aggressive
π Longs peaked near 186K as price continued to rally into November
π Then December hit β and price dropped
This wasnβt random selling
This was institutional profit taking on those long positions heading into year-end πΌπ°
π At the same time, we started to see short positions quietly increase
βοΈ Sentiment shifted from clearly bullish to neutral
Markets donβt flip sentiment by accident π¦
The big question now π
Is this neutral positioning a pauseβ¦
Or preparation for a broader bearish phase? π§
This is exactly why we track positioning alongside price β sentiment changes first, price follows π
Stay alert π
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 15
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ S&P 500 INSTITUTIONAL BULLISH UPDATE π¨π
Just dropped a quick π₯ video analysis on the #SP500 and the higher-timeframe picture remains STRONG π
π Monthly - Bullish
π Weekly - Bullish
π Daily - Bullish again as prior supply flipped into demand
π¦ Institutional demand is HOLDING
β±οΈ Short-term supply is causing a pause, but overall bias remains higher
This is how markets reset before the next leg up π
π΅οΈββοΈ Sherlock
#SP500 $SP500 $SPY
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 16
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
π€·ββοΈ Who wants to go π΄π LIVE this morning?
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 6
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Sherlock Analysis @ White Oak FX
ππ¨ $XLU UTILITIES SECTOR UPDATE π¨π
Higher-timeframe targets on $XLU have now been reached, which means chasing new longs up here carries lower odds ππ¦
That said π
π§ Monthly demand is still in play
π¦ Institutions often reload at these levels
β³ This becomes a patience game, not a chase
π What matters now:
π Watch for a confirmed long signal
ππ¦ Let price come to us and prove buyers are stepping back in
π§ Discipline over emotion
Lower probability right now - but not off the watchlist.
When demand aligns with signal, we act.
4 weeks ago | [YT] | 26
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