INSIGHTS: WTI rose above $94 for a fourth straight session as US–Iran diplomacy stalled, Hormuz traffic remained heavily restricted, and reports said US forces intercepted Iranian tankers. Falling US fuel inventories added support, signaling firm demand.
ANALYSIS: Another tricky inside-day profile structure, with the volume POC around 7160 acting as the key reference; currently serving as a potential selling level relative to it. At the same time, the TPO suggests a possible bullish bias ahead. Given this conflicting context, a rotational approach makes sense, with potential absorption around the previous lows for now. (#ES_F / #SPX)
Keep in mind, we do not provide a simplistic “red candle sell, green candle buy” signal service. We teach a comprehensive discretionary approach that can be applied across markets, grounded in proper risk management, meaningful levels, and well-reasoned entries. Every scenario we outline has clear logic behind it.
The market is printing a P-shaped price structure, with the POC once again acting as the key reference level for directional bias. Since price is currently trading well below that area, the odds favor a revisit, especially with the volume profile showing signs of short covering that support a potential push higher.
The market closed with an elongated profile structure and showed signs of long liquidation near the highs, leading to a sell-off that corrected the previously overbought conditions. At the same time, the volume profile hints at underlying buying interest, which opens the door for a rotation back toward the POC around 7019. Given the distance from that level, it remains a key reference and potential selling area once revisited.
The TPO profile structure shows some signs of short activity, with the POC around 7025 acting as the key reference level to define bias and potentially serving as a selling area for now. The volume profile, however, adds a tricky layer to the read, as it shows signs of short covering, which leans more toward a buying nuance. With these mixed signals, the most likely outcome is a rotational session ahead.
The market’s upside momentum remains intact, supported by solid earnings results. While the prior profile structure shows some signs of long liquidation, it’s more likely that participants were adding to core long positions rather than exiting risk. The POCs around 7009 and 6998 stand out as potential buying zones, with a sustained move below these levels shifting the bias to bearish. Traders are now focused on the upcoming interest rate decision, an expected hold could act as a pressure point, while a surprise cut, possibly tied to yen intervention dynamics, would likely be received positively and is worth keeping on the radar.
The market closed with a double distribution profile, showing signs of potential long liquidation near the highs. The volume POC at 6981 should act as a key support level; a sustained move below it would shift the bias to bearish. It’s also worth noting the outside day structure, which hints at a possible change in context. However, given the ongoing uncertainty around several risk factors, the market is more likely to remain balanced for now.
Friday closed with a balanced, inside-day profile structure on both a TPO and volume basis. From a technical perspective, this sets up a straightforward framework: either an inside-day failure or a breakout will define the directional bias for the next session. Today’s session opened with a gap down, suggesting traders should initially lean on the developing value extremes. However, with the gap already filled, attention can shift back to the distribution extremes of Friday’s profile as the primary reference levels.
The market is showing signs of long liquidation after filling the open gap from Monday’s/Tuesday’s session. The POC around 6946 remains the key reference level for determining bias, depending on how price behaves relative to it. While the tariff issue appears to be resolved and is supporting sentiment, two factors still need to be priced in: the rising Japanese yield and the possibility of a pause in U.S rate cuts. If pressure from either eases, another melt-up scenario becomes more likely. Until then, the outlook remains balanced.
The Private Banker
INSIGHTS: WTI rose above $94 for a fourth straight session as US–Iran diplomacy stalled, Hormuz traffic remained heavily restricted, and reports said US forces intercepted Iranian tankers. Falling US fuel inventories added support, signaling firm demand.
3 months ago | [YT] | 0
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The Private Banker
ANALYSIS: Another tricky inside-day profile structure, with the volume POC around 7160 acting as the key reference; currently serving as a potential selling level relative to it. At the same time, the TPO suggests a possible bullish bias ahead. Given this conflicting context, a rotational approach makes sense, with potential absorption around the previous lows for now. (#ES_F / #SPX)
3 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
Keep in mind, we do not provide a simplistic “red candle sell, green candle buy” signal service. We teach a comprehensive discretionary approach that can be applied across markets, grounded in proper risk management, meaningful levels, and well-reasoned entries. Every scenario we outline has clear logic behind it.
5 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, FEBURARY 04
The market is printing a P-shaped price structure, with the POC once again acting as the key reference level for directional bias. Since price is currently trading well below that area, the odds favor a revisit, especially with the volume profile showing signs of short covering that support a potential push higher.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 30
The market closed with an elongated profile structure and showed signs of long liquidation near the highs, leading to a sell-off that corrected the previously overbought conditions. At the same time, the volume profile hints at underlying buying interest, which opens the door for a rotation back toward the POC around 7019. Given the distance from that level, it remains a key reference and potential selling area once revisited.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 29
The TPO profile structure shows some signs of short activity, with the POC around 7025 acting as the key reference level to define bias and potentially serving as a selling area for now. The volume profile, however, adds a tricky layer to the read, as it shows signs of short covering, which leans more toward a buying nuance. With these mixed signals, the most likely outcome is a rotational session ahead.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 28
The market’s upside momentum remains intact, supported by solid earnings results. While the prior profile structure shows some signs of long liquidation, it’s more likely that participants were adding to core long positions rather than exiting risk. The POCs around 7009 and 6998 stand out as potential buying zones, with a sustained move below these levels shifting the bias to bearish. Traders are now focused on the upcoming interest rate decision, an expected hold could act as a pressure point, while a surprise cut, possibly tied to yen intervention dynamics, would likely be received positively and is worth keeping on the radar.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 27
The market closed with a double distribution profile, showing signs of potential long liquidation near the highs. The volume POC at 6981 should act as a key support level; a sustained move below it would shift the bias to bearish. It’s also worth noting the outside day structure, which hints at a possible change in context. However, given the ongoing uncertainty around several risk factors, the market is more likely to remain balanced for now.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 26
Friday closed with a balanced, inside-day profile structure on both a TPO and volume basis. From a technical perspective, this sets up a straightforward framework: either an inside-day failure or a breakout will define the directional bias for the next session. Today’s session opened with a gap down, suggesting traders should initially lean on the developing value extremes. However, with the gap already filled, attention can shift back to the distribution extremes of Friday’s profile as the primary reference levels.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
The Private Banker
ES MARKET UPDATE, JANUARY 23
The market is showing signs of long liquidation after filling the open gap from Monday’s/Tuesday’s session. The POC around 6946 remains the key reference level for determining bias, depending on how price behaves relative to it. While the tariff issue appears to be resolved and is supporting sentiment, two factors still need to be priced in: the rising Japanese yield and the possibility of a pause in U.S rate cuts. If pressure from either eases, another melt-up scenario becomes more likely. Until then, the outlook remains balanced.
6 months ago | [YT] | 0
View 0 replies
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